The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Qrendi 22.1%
Draw 25.7%
San Ġwann 52.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
27.8%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
25.9%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qrendi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
San Ġwann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Ġwann's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qrendi than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Ġwann than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Ġwann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).
Qrendi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches San Ġwann is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Ġwann will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Qrendi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Qrendi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.