The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Querétaro 32.6%
Draw 25.8%
Atlas 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
25.9%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
25.2%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Querétaro - Atlas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Morales K. (G) 2. Martinez S. (C) 6. Barone F. 3. Limon M. 4. Rosales Miranda F. 25. Bailey J. 11. Grimaldo N. 18. Grant G. 8. Jimenez M. 7. Heredia-Beltran D. 17. Lunyamila E.
12. Vazquez C. (G) 22. Delgado F. 5. Delgado V. (C) 28. Quintos B. 23. Penuna V. 26. Stephens S. 7. Flores K. 3. Saravia L. 9. Villalobos N. 11. Munoz S. 29. Martinez A.
Substitutes
22. Carmona E. 9. Cecena S. 20. Diaz X. (G) 30. Espinosa L. 16. George A. 23. Gonzalez A. 21. Plata J. 50. Ramirez F.
1. Contreras K. (G) 8. Huerta R. F. T. 17. Lopez A. 19. Lopez K. 13. Maldonado M. 14. Ramirez C. 20. Vlassopoulos E.
Coaches
Conti P.
Alfaro J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Grant G. 🟨,
27', Villalobos N. 🟨,
45', Lunyamila E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Bailey J. ↓, George A. ↑,
55', Grant G. ↓, Cecena S. ↑,
60', Martinez A. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
70', Munoz S. ↓, Huerta R. F. T. ↑,
80', Jimenez M. 🟨,
81', Saravia L. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
81', Flores K. ↓, Vlassopoulos E. ↑,
82', Grimaldo N. 🟨,
84', Heredia-Beltran D. ↓, Carmona E. ↑,
88', Grimaldo N. ↓, Espinosa L. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 1, Huerta R. F. T. ⚽,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 9th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 0.
Querétaro is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Atlas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Querétaro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Querétaro has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:43 (averaging 0.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Querétaro against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with 5:18 goals (averaging 0.5:1.8 per game).