Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio La Corregidora (Querétaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Querétaro		Atlético San Luis

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.15	Watch
	2.87	3.4	2.35
	3.25	3.35	2.12
	3.54	3.43	2.21
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	3.5	3.46	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.74)	3.37 ↓ (3.65)	2.2 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Querétaro
29.3%

Draw
27.9%

Atlético San Luis
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

25.7%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

23%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Querétaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Querétaro - Atlético San Luis Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético San Luis (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Querétaro (2.16) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Querétaro (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético San Luis (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Allison G. (G) 2. Mendoza Martin O. I. 16. Zapata A. 9. Reyes D. 6. Homenchenko S. 26. Perlaza J. 10. Rodriguez L. 28. Bogarin R. 13. Armenta E. 8. Barrera P. (C) 31. Avila A.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 29. Suarez J. 6. Juanpe 31. Aguila E. 8. Sanabria J. (C) 13. Rodrigo Dourado 19. Salles-Lamonge S. 14. Garcia M. 10. Klimowicz M. 22. Yan Phillipe 9. Joao Pedro Galvao
Substitutes
5. Escamilla K. 4. Garcia C. 12. Gomez J. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 7. Jhojan Julio 22. Partida E. 23. Robles J. 32. Valenzuela C. 17. Venegas F. 15. Villanueva C.	25. Barajas F. 18. Cruz A. 4. Dominguez J. 7. Galdames B. 34. Lajud G. (G) 16. Marchand J. 17. Martinez G. 24. Najera R. 26. Perez S. 2. Torres R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Rodrigo Dourado (A),
23', 1 - 1, Avila A. ⚽,
31', Avila A. ↓, Robles J. ↑,
45', Barrera P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Robles J. ⚽, Armenta E. (A),
58', Suarez J. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
58', Klimowicz M. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
58', Garcia M. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
67', Perlaza J. ↓, Venegas F. ↑,
67', Armenta E. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
68', Barrera P. ↓, Partida E. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Joao Pedro Galvao (Pen),
73', Mendoza Martin O. I. 🟨,
84', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
84', Yan Phillipe ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
84', Reyes D. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
86', Robles J. 🟨,
90+7', Torres R. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 2, Homenchenko S. (Pen),
90+9', Homenchenko S. 🟨,
90+10', Aguila E. ↓, Barajas F. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 2.

Querétaro is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético San Luis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Querétaro: Hernandez J. (Injury) Lertora F. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Macias O. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
17.08.25	Querétaro - Atlas	3:3 ✺
09.08.25	Club América - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Real Salt Lake - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Portland Timbers - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	Minnesota United - Querétaro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX
15.08.25	Puebla - Atlético San Luis	0:2 ✺
11.08.25	Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Minnesota United - Atlético San Luis	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Real Salt Lake - Atlético San Luis	2:3 penalties ✺
30.07.25	Portland Timbers - Atlético San Luis	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
07.02.25	Querétaro - Atlético San Luis	1:0
18.08.24	Atlético San Luis - Querétaro	4:0
27.02.24	Querétaro - Atlético San Luis	4:1
15.07.23	Atlético San Luis - Querétaro	4:1
10.03.23	Atlético San Luis - Querétaro	2:0
11.08.22	Querétaro - Atlético San Luis	1:1
17.03.22	Querétaro - Atlético San Luis	2:1

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