Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez (Juárez)

Referee: Arce V. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, FOX One
Usa	Estrella TV, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Fubo Sports Network, NBC Universo, Peacock TV Premium


	Juárez		Querétaro

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	6.5
	1.55	3.95	5.9
	1.57	4.16	6.14
	1.45	4.53	6.74	Watch
	1.59	3.95	6.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)	4.1 ↓ (4.53)	6.31 ↓ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juárez
61.8%

Draw
23.1%

Querétaro
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

20.8%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.3%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juárez - Querétaro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Juárez (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juárez will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (C) 5. Garcia D. 3. Mosquera M. 2. Murillo J. 4. Mayorga A. 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 9. Madson 10. Villalpando D. 21. Ricardinho 11. Puma 19. Estupinan O.	25. Allison G. (G) 12. Gomez J. 15. Villanueva C. 6. Homenchenko S. 17. Venegas F. 16. Zapata A. 8. Barrera P. (C) 28. Bogarin R. 13. Armenta E. 10. Rodriguez L. 31. Avila A.
Substitutes
24. Diaz B. (G) 13. Fulgencio R. 25. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 237. Lopez E. 26. Manriquez J. 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 183. Silva L. 200. Sosa C. 7. Valoyes D. 29. Zaldivar A.	55. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 37. Coronel M. 29. El-mesmari B. 4. Garcia C. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 7. Jhojan Julio 21. Pena F. 19. Perez A. 30. Pinuelas J. 23. Robles J.
Coaches
Varini M.	Mora B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Mayorga A. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Avila A. ⚽, Rodriguez L. (A),
15', Murillo J. 🟨,
22', 0 - 2, Mosquera M. (Own goal),
42', Zapata A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Villalpando D. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
46', Puma ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
46', Madson ↓, Valoyes D. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Valoyes D. ⚽, Fulgencio R. (A),
62', Murillo J. ↓, Manriquez J. ↑,
65', Zapata A. ↓, Pinuelas J. ↑,
65', Barrera P. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
73', Venegas F. ↓, Robles J. ↑,
73', Avila A. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
78', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↑,
80', 🟨,
87', Rodriguez L. ↓, Coronel M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 13).

Juárez is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Juárez is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Juárez: Guilherme Castilho (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Querétaro: Gruezo E. (Knee Injury) Manzanarez O. (Knee Injury) Mendoza Martin O. I. (Foot Injury) Perlaza J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Juárez: Torres Ramirez I. J. M. (Injury) Valoyes D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Querétaro: Barrera P. (Injury) Lertora F. (Calf Injury) Reyes D. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Juárez
Mexican Liga MX
31.10.25	Atlético San Luis - Juárez	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Juárez - Puebla	4:4 ✺
21.10.25	Monterrey - Juárez	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Juárez - Pachuca	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Atlas - Juárez	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLTL
- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
02.11.25	Querétaro - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Santos Laguna - Querétaro	3:1 ✺
22.10.25	Querétaro - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Toluca - Querétaro	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Querétaro - Puebla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
20.04.25	Juárez - Querétaro	0:2
01.11.24	Querétaro - Juárez	1:2
15.03.24	Querétaro - Juárez	1:0
05.11.23	Juárez - Querétaro	0:3
19.03.23	Querétaro - Juárez	2:2
15.07.22	Juárez - Querétaro	1:1
30.04.22	Querétaro - Juárez	4:0

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