Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Quintanar del Rey		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.38	3.05	2.72
	2.49	3.1	2.94
	2.45	3.07	2.83	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.8
	2.49	3.22	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.41)	3.07 ↑ (3.03)	2.8 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quintanar del Rey
37.6%

Draw
29.8%

Real Madrid C
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

28.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quintanar del Rey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Real Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Quintanar del Rey - Real Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 0 - 1, Arnuncio A. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Lopez D. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Castrelo G. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Quintanar del Rey has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Madrid C's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Quintanar del Rey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Real Madrid C	5	0	3	2	1:4	-3	3

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid C - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.18%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.03.26	Las Palmas B - Quintanar del Rey	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Quintanar del Rey - Colonia Moscardó	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Quintanar del Rey	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Quintanar del Rey - Tenerife B	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Getafe B - Quintanar del Rey	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLLL
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.03.26	Real Madrid C - Tenerife B	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Navalcarnero - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Real Madrid C - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Socuéllamos - Real Madrid C	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Real Madrid C - Rayo Majadahonda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.11.25	Real Madrid C - Quintanar del Rey	0:1

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