Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Real Madrid C		Tenerife B

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.18	3.3	2.88
	2.12	3.3	2.65
	2.27	3.42	2.83	Watch
	2.3	3	2.88
	2.3	3.08	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.27)	3.27 ↑ (3.13)	2.82 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid C
40.5%

Draw
27.6%

Tenerife B
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.8%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Tenerife B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife B than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Real Madrid C - Tenerife B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Arnuncio A. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Martin R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Zubelzu J. 🟥,
67', 3 - 0, Castrelo G. ⚽,
74', 4 - 0, Ortega J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Real Madrid C is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tenerife B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid C won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Real Madrid C won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Real Madrid C	5	0	3	2	1:4	-3	3

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid C - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.69%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Tenerife B - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 31.52%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.26	Navalcarnero - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Real Madrid C - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Socuéllamos - Real Madrid C	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Real Madrid C - Rayo Majadahonda	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Elche Ilicitano - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Tenerife B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Tenerife B	1:4 ✺
22.02.26	Tenerife B - Rayo Majadahonda	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Quintanar del Rey - Tenerife B	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Tenerife B - Navalcarnero	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Tenerife B - Intercity	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.11.25	Tenerife B - Real Madrid C	3:3
06.04.25	Real Madrid C - Tenerife B	2:1
24.11.24	Tenerife B - Real Madrid C	1:1

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