Match Info

Cearense - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Abilhao (Quixada)


	Quixadá		Maranguape

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.5	Watch
	2	2.75	4.13
	2.03	3.01	3.8	Watch
	2.05	2.75	3.5
	2.18	3.01	3.59
	2.2	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.12)	2.92 ↓ (3.06)	3.69 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quixadá
43.7%

Draw
31.5%

Maranguape
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

30.2%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quixadá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Maranguape has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quixadá than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranguape than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Quixadá - Maranguape Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kerven (G) 13. Rafael 3. Leo Ceara 4. Santos S. 6. Gleryston 16. Dim 22. Caninde 17. Conrado 7. Gustavo Queiroz (C) 11. Erikin 18. Lucas Santos	12. Otavio (C) 16. Nailton 22. Samuel 3. Mael 6. Ronald 25. Adilton 8. Lessinho 7. Clodo 14. Yarley 21. Rodrigo Pacuja 9. Felipe Hulk
Substitutes
8. Anderson Paulista 9. Davi 10. Dico 23. Eduardo Ninja 21. Juninho Quixada 19. Kauan 2. Le Santos 20. Lucas 14. Murilo 5. Natan 15. Renisson 1. Silva M. (G)	19. Breno Araujo 5. Doda 18. Ferreira V. 23. Germano 24. Maldine M. (G) 1. Maxwell (G) 17. Paulo Roberto 11. Pedrinho 2. Rian Kelvi 20. Wallyson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Gleryston ↓, Natan ↑,
25', Samuel 🟨,
25', Yarley 🟨,
38', Gustavo Queiroz 🟨,
39', Lucas Santos 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Ronald ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', Adilton ↓, Doda ↑,
55', Rodrigo Pacuja ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Felipe Hulk ⚽,
58', Erikin ↓, Davi ↑,
58', Rafael ↓, Dico ↑,
59', Gustavo Queiroz ↓, Juninho Quixada ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Felipe Hulk ⚽, Lessinho (A),
76', Dico 🟨,
79', 1 - 3, Dico ⚽,
80', 🟨,
81', Doda 🟨,
83', Lessinho 🟨,
90+1', Clodo ↓, Ferreira V. ↑,
90+2', Felipe Hulk ↓, Breno Araujo ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Maranguape has had a series of home games.

Quixadá could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Quixadá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Quixadá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quixadá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
04.02.26	Maracanã - Quixadá	2:3 ✺
29.01.26	Quixadá - Tirol	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Quixadá - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Fortaleza - Quixadá	4:0 ✺
10.01.26	Quixadá - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLLW
- Maranguape FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
03.02.26	Maranguape - Tirol	3:2 ✺
28.01.26	Maranguape - Maracanã	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Maranguape - Floresta	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Ceará - Maranguape	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Maranguape - Tirol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense 2
12.04.25	Maranguape - Quixadá	2:1 penalties
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
04.03.15	Maranguape - Quixadá	1:2
01.03.15	Quixadá - Maranguape	4:1

Quixadá - Maranguape: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide