Match Info

Cearense - Round 5

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Abilhao (Quixada)


	Quixadá		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.39	3.08	2.14	Watch
	3.3	2.75	2.15
	3.63	2.9	2.23
	3.5	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.28)	2.93 ↓ (3.12)	2.19 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quixadá
26.6%

Draw
31.4%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

29.4%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quixadá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Quixadá - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Josue (C) 2. Le Santos 3. Leo Ceara 4. Santos S. 6. Dudu Caririacu 22. Caninde 8. Anderson Paulista 11. Gleryston 17. Conrado 16. Dim 18. Lucas Santos	93. Sivaldo Junior (G) 23. Jeffao 4. Iago Reis 3. Leo Paraiso (C) 6. Pedrinho 16. Mena Y. 5. Luan 8. Lucas Black 11. Felipe Sales 10. Thalisson 9. Jefinho
Substitutes
20. Arquias 9. Davi 19. Eduardo Ninja 7. Gustavo Queiroz 10. Juninho Quixada 15. Kauan 1. Kerven (G) 14. Murilo 5. Natan 21. Neto W. 13. Rafael 30. Silva M. (G)	14. Bruno Miranda 18. Camilo 15. Joao Neto 17. Kiuan 13. Pablo Maldini 21. Paulo Ricardo 19. Rosa B. 20. Thiago Pulga 33. Victor Brasil (G) 12. Victor Diotti

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Gleryston ⚽,
14', Conrado (Penalty Awarded),
25', Mena Y. 🟨,
27', Caninde 🟨,
27', Lucas Black 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Jefinho (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Iago Reis 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Le Santos ↓, Rafael ↑,
61', 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Mena Y. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
70', Caninde ↓, Kauan ↑,
76', Luan 🟨,
78', Dudu Caririacu ↓, Juninho Quixada ↑,
79', Jefinho ↓, Camilo ↑,
82', Josue 🟨,
90+1', Mena Y. ↓, Paulo Ricardo ↑,
90+1', Luan ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Ferroviário has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferroviário is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Quixadá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Quixadá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ferroviário Fortaleza - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.54%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quixadá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
15.01.26	Fortaleza - Quixadá	4:0 ✺
10.01.26	Quixadá - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Horizonte - Quixadá	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
23.11.25	Quixadá - Atlético Cearense	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Itapipoca - Quixadá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTWL
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
16.01.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
27.11.25	Tirol - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Fortaleza B - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
02.11.25	Quixadá - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0

Quixadá - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide