Match Info
Nakotnes liga - Round 12Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Latvia | Futbols TV |
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Rēzekne |
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JFK Ventspils |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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4.20 |
4.00 |
1.58 |
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3.1 |
3.7 |
1.92 |
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 |
3.16 |
3.64 |
1.92 |
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3.14 |
3.75 |
1.97 |
Watch |
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3.1 |
3.6 |
1.89 |
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 |
2.78 |
4.02 |
2.11 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↓
(4.18) |
3.79 ↓
(4.33) |
1.9 ↑
(1.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Rēzekne
28% | Draw
24% | JFK Ventspils
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rēzekne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rēzekne's performance.JFK Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JFK Ventspils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rēzekne than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rēzekne that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for JFK Ventspils than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JFK Ventspils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Rēzekne - JFK Ventspils Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Lucins A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Kovalovs A. ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12).Rēzekne is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).JFK Ventspils has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).JFK Ventspils may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, JFK Ventspils is seen as the favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rēzekne won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Rēzekne won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21:41 | -20 | 15 |
| 14 | Rezekne | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17:64 | -47 | 6 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Latvian 1 Liga | | | 02.08.25 | JFK Ventspils - Rēzekne | 1:1 | | 07.04.25 | Rēzekne - JFK Ventspils | 0:1 | | 11.08.24 | JFK Ventspils - Rēzekne | 4:0 | | 15.04.24 | Rēzekne - JFK Ventspils | 2:2 | | 06.08.23 | JFK Ventspils - Rēzekne | 1:1 |
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