Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 11

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	JFK Ventspils		Valmiera

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.50	1.37
	5.5	4.55	1.41
	5.85	4.54	1.42
	6.05	4.48	1.42	Watch
	5.75	4.45	1.37
	6.55	4.6	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.99 ↑ (5.15)	4.52 ↑ (4.25)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JFK Ventspils
15.1%

Draw
20%

Valmiera
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

21.2%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

20.9%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JFK Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JFK Ventspils than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

JFK Ventspils - Valmiera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
87', 0 - 1, Lopes G. ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, Lopes G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4).

In recent matches, JFK Ventspils has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valmiera is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

JFK Ventspils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Valmiera has had a series of away games.

In this match, Valmiera is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valmiera	21	16	3	2	60:23	37	51
13	JFK Ventspils	21	3	6	12	21:41	-20	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JFK Ventspils
Latvian Cup
20.06.26	JFK Ventspils - Leevon PPK	1:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.26	Mārupe - JFK Ventspils	1:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
01.06.26	Upesciema Warriors - JFK Ventspils	0:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
23.05.26	Leevon PPK - JFK Ventspils	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	JFK Ventspils - Metta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLL
- Valmiera FK
Latvian Cup
22.06.26	Smiltene - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
Latvian Cup
30.05.26	Valmiera - Skanstes	2:0 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
26.05.26	Super Nova 2 - Valmiera	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Riga Mariners - Valmiera	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWTL

JFK Ventspils - Valmiera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide