Match Info
EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6Date: 3 November 2022, ThursdayLocation: NSB Arkฤdija (Riga)Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)Where to Watch on TV:
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RFS |
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Fiorentina |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
12 |
6 |
1.22 |
|
 |
11.5 |
6.25 |
1.22 |
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 |
11.5 |
5.75 |
1.27 |
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 |
12 |
6.2 |
1.22 |
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 |
12.86 |
6.13 |
1.25 |
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 |
8.5 |
4.4 |
1.32 |
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 |
12 |
6.25 |
1.21 |
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 |
13 |
6.6 |
1.23 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.67 ↑
(6.1) |
5.95 ↑
(4.28) |
1.24 ↓
(1.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
RFS
8.1% | Draw
15.9% | Fiorentina
76% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RFS's form might have worsened.Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RFS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 4 - 8.3%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 41 - 85.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 75.4% โ 95.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
RFS has currently - 2, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, has not chance of knockout phase, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.Fiorentina has currently - 10, has a chance of 1st (25%), has a good chance of 2nd (75%), has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (77%), has a good chance of qtrs (51%), has a chance of semis (32%), has a chance of final (18%), has a small chance of win league (9%).This event has quality 45, very small importance 9, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com) Recent matches RFS is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Fiorentina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Recently RFS have a series of guest games. In this match Fiorentina is certain favorite.There will not play in RFS: Jagodinskis V.
(Red Card)There will not play in Fiorentina: Castrovilli G.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez N.
(Injury)
Sottil R.
(Injury)There are questionable in RFS: Jatta A.
(Injury)
Panic S.
(Injury)
Vlalukin J.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches RFS won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
