Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Easi Arena (La Louvière) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	16:00	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza


	RAAL La Louvière		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.52	3.65	2.52	Watch
	2.61	3.75	2.67
	2.81	3.54	2.41	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.38
	2.79	3.65	2.42	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.78)	3.55 ↓ (3.61)	2.46 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RAAL La Louvière
35.3%

Draw
26.5%

Cercle Brugge
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

27.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	7.7%	53.8%

RAAL La Louvière - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. La Louvière will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cercle Brugge: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Cercle Brugge (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cercle Brugge will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cercle Brugge (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Peano M. (C) 4. Faye W. 99. Okou Y. 25. Lamego D. 11. Liongola J. 23. Ito J. 15. Lahssaini S. 5. Lutonda T. 18. Ashimeru M. 7. Fall P. M. 22. Afriyie J.	84. Langenbick B. (G) 5. Kakou E. 24. Kondo G. 33. Caicedo R. 2. Diakite I. 19. Diaby I. 18. Gerkens P. (C) 12. Valy K. 13. Vanzeir D. 23. Jurado H. 10. Diakite O.
Substitutes
6. Beka Beka A. 1. De Schrevel C. (G) 3. Gillot N. 8. Gueulette S. 13. Maisonneuve M. 20. Makembo-Ntemo N. 27. Nsingi N. 28. Soumare B. 91. Traore S.	17. Adewumi O. 27. De Wilde N. 75. Gheerardyns S. 41. Kouassi K. 15. Magnee G. 20. Nazinho 66. Ravych C. 28. van der Bruggen H. 1. Warleson (G)
Coaches
Taquin F.	Friis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Diakite O. ⚽, Vanzeir D. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Ito J. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
46', Ashimeru M. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Fall P. M. ⚽, Lutonda T. (A),
55', 2 - 1, Faye W. ⚽, Liongola J. (A),
56', Faye W. 🟨,
56', Jurado H. 🟨,
60', Caicedo R. ↓, Ravych C. ↑,
60', Kakou E. ↓, Magnee G. ↑,
60', Valy K. ↓, Nazinho ↑,
64', Magnee G. 🟨,
69', 3 - 1, Fall P. M. ⚽, Liongola J. (A),
70', Vanzeir D. ↓, Adewumi O. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Liongola J. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Jurado H. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
80', Lahssaini S. ↓, Beka Beka A. ↑,
87', Faye W. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
90', Fall P. M. ↓, Maisonneuve M. ↑,

Preview

La Louvière is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cercle Brugge is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

La Louvière may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cercle Brugge is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Ouattara A. K. (Muscle Injury) van der Bruggen H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Diop E. (Injury) Erick Nunes (Knock)

We predict that Cercle Brugge will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Louvière won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, La Louvière won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	1	6	11:18	-7	7
18	Cercle Brugge KSV	9	0	3	6	11:21	-10	3

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

RAAL La Louviere: 0.43%

Last Results with these Odds

Cercle Brugge - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 39.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.05.26	Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Zulte Waregem - RAAL La Louvière	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	RAAL La Louvière - Zulte Waregem	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Cercle Brugge - RAAL La Louvière	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.05.26	Cercle Brugge - Zulte Waregem	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Cercle Brugge - Dender EH	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Dender EH - Cercle Brugge	1:4 ✺
11.04.26	Cercle Brugge - RAAL La Louvière	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Zulte Waregem - Cercle Brugge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.04.26	Cercle Brugge - RAAL La Louvière	3:0
15.03.26	Cercle Brugge - RAAL La Louvière	1:3
02.11.25	RAAL La Louvière - Cercle Brugge	2:1

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