Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Relegation Group - Round 33

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza


	Dender EH		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.65	3.65	1.92	Watch
	3.87	3.93	1.92
	3.82	3.95	1.86	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.91
	3.87	3.92	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.18)	3.78 ↓ (3.83)	1.9 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
25.2%

Draw
25%

Cercle Brugge
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

24.7%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

24.2%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Dender EH - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: Cercle Brugge will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gallon G. (G) 70. Sambu M. 6. De Kerf B. 5. Marijnissen L. 7. Goncalves B. 18. Rodes N. (C) 24. Viltard M. 27. Jahanbakhsh A. 17. Mbamba N. 20. Hrncar D. 9. Toshevski D.	1. Warleson (G) 19. Diaby I. 24. Kondo G. 12. Valy K. 2. Diakite I. 18. Gerkens P. 28. van der Bruggen H. (C) 37. Diop E. 20. Nazinho 13. Vanzeir D. 9. Ngoura S.
Substitutes
23. Acquah D. 90. Berte M. 60. Brina A. 44. De Fougerolles L. 30. Dietsch G. (G) 15. Koton K. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 77. Nsimba B. 11. Oratmangoen R.	17. Adewumi O. 6. Agyekum L. 33. Caicedo R. 21. Delanghe M. (G) 27. De Wilde N. 10. Diakite O. 75. Gheerardyns S. 23. Jurado H. 41. Kouassi K.
Coaches
Ferrera Y.	Friis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Kondo G. ⚽, Nazinho (A),
40', Jahanbakhsh A. 🟨,
41', Sambu M. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Mbamba N. ⚽, Jahanbakhsh A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 1 - 2, Diaby I. ⚽,
54', 1 - 3, Ngoura S. ⚽, Nazinho (A),
60', Hrncar D. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
60', De Kerf B. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
61', 1 - 4, Diop E. ⚽, Kondo G. (A),
66', Vanzeir D. ↓, Adewumi O. ↑,
66', Gerkens P. ↓, Jurado H. ↑,
66', Ngoura S. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
67', Gallon G. ↓, Dietsch G. ↑,
67', Viltard M. 🟨,
72', Toshevski D. ↓, Nsimba B. ↑,
73', Goncalves B. ↓, Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↑,
74', Diakite I. ↓, Caicedo R. ↑,
80', van der Bruggen H. ↓, De Wilde N. ↑,
90+4', Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 🟨,

Preview

Dender EH has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cercle Brugge's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dender EH may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cercle Brugge might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Dender EH: Ferraro F. (Inactive) Fredrick B. (Knee Injury) Kvet R. (Inactive) Nsimba B. (Hamstring Injury) Verrips M. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Erick Nunes (Knock) Kakou E. (Injury) Ouattara A. K. (Muscle Injury) Ravych C. (Foot Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Cercle Brugge KSV	8	0	3	5	9:16	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.04.26	Dender EH - Zulte Waregem	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Dender EH - Gent	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Dender EH - Charleroi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLLT
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.04.26	Cercle Brugge - RAAL La Louvière	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Zulte Waregem - Cercle Brugge	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Anderlecht - Cercle Brugge	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Cercle Brugge - RAAL La Louvière	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Sint-Truidense - Cercle Brugge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.03.26	Cercle Brugge - Dender EH	0:0
26.07.25	Dender EH - Cercle Brugge	0:0
18.01.25	Dender EH - Cercle Brugge	0:1
19.10.24	Cercle Brugge - Dender EH	0:0

Dender EH - Cercle Brugge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide