Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 8

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	RC Villalbes		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.87	2.2
	3	3	2.4
	3.48	2.88	2.48
	3.48	2.59	2.48
	3.2	2.92	2.24
	3.1	2.95	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.14)	2.87 ↓ (3.02)	2.35 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RC Villalbes
28.6%

Draw
32.1%

Ourense CF
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

30.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RC Villalbes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RC Villalbes's form might have worsened.

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RC Villalbes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

RC Villalbes - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ourense CF will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villalbes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Villalbes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Villalbes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.10.23	Compostela - RC Villalbes	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	RC Villalbes - Covadonga	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Arandina - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	RC Villalbes - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Rayo Cantabria - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWTT
- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.10.23	Ourense CF - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Ourense CF - Zamora	0:3 ✺
01.10.23	Compostela - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.09.23	Ourense CF - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
24.04.22	Ourense CF - RC Villalbes	1:0
18.12.21	RC Villalbes - Ourense CF	0:1
27.10.18	RC Villalbes - Ourense CF	0:2

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