Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de Rocourt (Liège)

Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1


	RFC Liège		Zulte Waregem

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.57	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.55
	5	4.33	1.57	Watch
	5.03	4.13	1.6	Watch
	4.8	3.9	1.62
	4.69	4.1	1.6
	5	4.33	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (4.3)	4.13 ↑ (4.11)	1.58 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFC Liège
19%

Draw
22.5%

Zulte Waregem
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

22.7%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

21.8%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFC Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

RFC Liège - Zulte Waregem Predictions

Users Predictions: Zulte Waregem will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lejoly A. (G) 5. Ngawa P. 19. Lambot B. 14. Lucker L. 25. D'Ostilio J. 2. Lioka J. 8. Pierrot T. 6. Merlen R. 7. Bruggeman B. 9. Atteri Z. 11. Lefebvre A.	23. van der Gouw E. (G) 19. Nyssen B. 31. Willen L. 4. Lemoine L. 14. Barkarson A. 8. Rommens N. 17. Demba P. 11. Gavriel S. 24. Erenbjerg J. 22. Opoku J. 9. Vossen J.
Substitutes
15. Arslan A. 18. Baiocchi J. 21. Cascio A. 17. Da Silva F. 13. Mouchamps D. 22. Mpenza J. (G)	1. Bostyn L. (G) 55. Cappelle Y. 7. Challouk Y. 20. Hedl T. 47. Labie A. 99. Machado M. 21. Nnadi T. 64. Sergeant T. 10. Traore A.
Coaches
Englebert G.	Vandenbroeck S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Gavriel S. ⚽, Opoku J. (A),
49', Merlen R. 🟨,
56', Lefebvre A. ↓, Cascio A. ↑,
59', Pierrot T. 🟨,
62', Cascio A. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Ngawa P. ⚽, Merlen R. (A),
72', Ngawa P. 🟨,
80', Gavriel S. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
80', Erenbjerg J. ↓, Challouk Y. ↑,
85', Bruggeman B. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
89', Vossen J. 🟨,
89', Vossen J. ↓, Hedl T. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League).

Recent matches RFC Liège is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Waregem is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently RFC Liège have a series of guest games.

In this match Waregem is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches RFC Liège won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams RFC Liège won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.01.25	RWDM Brussels - RFC Liège	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.25	Mons - RFC Liège	1:3 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
21.12.24	Eupen - RFC Liège	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	RFC Liège - Lokeren	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Lierse - RFC Liège	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLL
- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.01.25	Zulte Waregem - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	3:2 ✺
20.12.24	Brugge U23 - Zulte Waregem	0:3 ✺
14.12.24	Lommel - Zulte Waregem	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Zulte Waregem - Beveren	4:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Zulte Waregem	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
22.09.24	Zulte Waregem - RFC Liège	3:1
28.01.24	RFC Liège - Zulte Waregem	0:2
21.10.23	Zulte Waregem - RFC Liège	1:0
Belgian Cup
20.09.17	RFC Liège - Zulte Waregem	2:3

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