The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
RKAV Volendam 44.4%
Draw 22.6%
Jong Almere City 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.7%
25.3%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
24%
39.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RKAV Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RKAV Volendam's performance.
Jong Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong Almere City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for RKAV Volendam than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RKAV Volendam that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
RKAV Volendam - Jong Almere City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Witte D. (G) 4. Veerman L. 13. Karregat P. 3. Schokker S. 2. Tol R. 30. Ait Abdellah W. 10. Runderkamp N. (C) 5. Vlak G. 7. Tol R. 9. Sout A. 26. Plugboer P.
31. van der Mark J. (G) 32. Apinsa D. 42. Bos C. 34. Teunissen S. 36. Smit M. (C) 55. de Ruijter J. 38. Lenssen L. 45. Opdam L. 49. Boerhout Y. 47. Ghogli I. 37. van Beekveld Q.
Substitutes
77. Huijsman M. 22. Kluessien J. (G) 6. Kroon P. 25. Sier D. 14. Steur D. 8. van Baarsen D. 20. Zwarthoed D.
40. Bais A. 52. Brandt J. 46. De Longte J. 59. Dors X. 57. Levant J. 58. Obasuyi E. 51. Pool K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Lenssen L. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Boerhout Y. ⚽, Ghogli I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Boerhout Y. ↓, Bais A. ↑,
48', Teunissen S. 🟨,
59', Tol R. ↓, Steur D. ↑,
59', Vlak G. ↓, Kroon P. ↑,
59', Ait Abdellah W. ↓, Zwarthoed D. ↑,
75', Schokker S. ↓, van Baarsen D. ↑,
75', Sout A. ↓, Huijsman M. ↑,
78', Ghogli I. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
78', Lenssen L. ↓, Levant J. ↑,
81', Brandt J. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
82', 0 - 3, van Beekveld Q. ⚽, Bais A. (A),
83', Bais A. 🟨,
86', 1 - 3, Steur D. ⚽, Tol R. (A),
89', Opdam L. ↓, Obasuyi E. ↑,
90', Kroon P. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 4, Bais A. ⚽, Levant J. (A),
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 17th in the Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).
RKAV Volendam has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Jong Almere City is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
RKAV Volendam may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, RKAV Volendam has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:14 (averaging 1.8:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for RKAV Volendam against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:8 goals (averaging 2:4 per game).
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Witte D. (G) 
Apinsa D. 
De Longte J. 
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