Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)


	Dender EH		ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	9.5	Watch
	1.3	4.75	12	Watch
	1.36	4.28	10.17	Watch
	1.28	5.1	10.5	Watch
	1.29	5.25	7.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↑ (1.22)	4.93 ↓ (5.75)	9.98 ↓ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
71.8%

Draw
18.9%

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.6%

16%

8.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dender EH - ROC de Charleroi Marchienne Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - ROCCM (3.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dender EH will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ROCCM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dietsch G. (G) 90. Berte M. 44. De Fougerolles L. 88. Ferraro F. 22. Fredrick B. 7. Goncalves B. 20. Hrncar D. 16. Kvet R. 11. Oratmangoen R. 18. Rodes N. (C) 9. Toshevski D.	26. Herrerin I. (G) 17. Cachbach M. 55. Corneillie V. 81. Dailly N. 77. Ferrara L. 49. Kima Beyissa K. 6. Kis K. 8. Lake T. 13. Medfai M. 2. Sarkic O. 28. Spago E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Kvet R. (Pen),
22', 0 - 1, Corneillie V. ⚽,
26', Lake T. 🟨,
27', Ferrara L. 🟨,
31', Goncalves B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ferraro F. ↓, Viltard M. ↑,
46', Oratmangoen R. ↓, Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↑,
46', Toshevski D. ↓, Nsimba B. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Dailly N. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Nsimba B. ⚽,
60', Hrncar D. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
64', Medfai M. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
68', Ferrara L. 🟨,
71', Cisse M. ↓, Thea A. ↑,
79', Goncalves B. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
79', Dailly N. ↓, Eyongo R. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Kadiri J. A. ⚽,
90+8', Berte M. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
96', 3 - 2, Acquah D. ⚽,
101', 4 - 2, Kadiri J. A. ⚽,
103', Cachbach M. ↓, Ramalho J. ↑,
103', Spago E. ↓, Ion R. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Dender EH is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.10.25	Westerlo - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Dender EH - KV Mechelen	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Genk - Dender EH	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Gent - Dender EH	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLTL
- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	Brugge U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Eupen	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lokeren	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lierse - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Anderlecht U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
19.03.22	Dender EH - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:1
06.11.21	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Dender EH	2:2
01.12.19	Dender EH - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1

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