Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne		Heist

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.11	3.52	3.19
	2.11	3.52	3.19
	2.07	3.4	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.17)	3.48 ↑ (3.39)	3.15 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
44.1%

Draw
26.6%

Heist
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

26.7%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Heist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heist than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ROC de Charleroi Marchienne - Heist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

ROCCM could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches ROCCM won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams ROCCM won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian National Division 1
04.11.23	Thes Sport - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:3 ✺
Belgian Cup
01.11.23	RWDM Brussels - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:0 ✺
Belgian National Division 1
28.10.23	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Hoogstraten	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	RAAL La Louvière - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	4:0 ✺
14.10.23	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Charleroi B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLT
- KSK Heist
Belgian National Division 1
03.11.23	Heist - Royal Antwerp 2	2:4 ✺
29.10.23	Leuven B - Heist	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Heist - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Heist - RAAL La Louvière	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	URSL Vise - Heist	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
06.04.22	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Heist	1:0
25.09.21	Heist - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1
01.02.20	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Heist	2:3
16.11.19	Heist - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	4:0

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