Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 17

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Edmond Machtens Stadium (Brussels)

Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)


	RWDM Brussels		ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.92	4.1	3.54
	1.86	4.05	3.57	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.6
	1.82	3.5	3.79
	1.88	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.71)	3.69 ↓ (3.92)	3.62 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RWDM Brussels
49.4%

Draw
25.1%

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

23.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RWDM Brussels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

RWDM Brussels - ROC de Charleroi Marchienne Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - ROCCM (3.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ROCCM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bengui J. (G) 99. Persyn T. 47. Verhaeghe M. 83. Lemmens M. 27. Chaib Y. 13. Keita M. 6. Huguinho 30. Loune A. 29. Maurer A. 26. Kestens P. 9. Simbakoli U.	23. Herrerin I. (G) 4. Jahic H. 28. Spago E. 3. Ndedi Kegne K. J. 77. Ferrara L. 2. Sarkic O. 17. Cachbach M. 6. Kis K. 81. Dailly N. 10. Ion R. 8. Lake T.
Substitutes
17. Adamo V. 31. Dodeigne N. 14. Dumont O. 8. Jacob Montes 1. Lathouwers B. (G) 19. Montoro F. 7. Sapata 77. Segovia M. 60. Szulc O.	18. Berberi R. 38. Diallo T. 11. Florica L. 22. Hameed H. 88. Kari S. 13. Medfai M. 12. Ramalho J. 5. Thea A. 40. Van Hecke M. (G)
Coaches
Frans F.	Mercier A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Lake T. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Persyn T. ⚽,
29', Ferrara L. 🟨,
32', Lemmens M. 🟨,
43', Loune A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Simbakoli U. ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
49', Lemmens M. 🟨,
51', Ndedi Kegne K. J. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Dailly N. ⚽, Cachbach M. (A),
65', 2 - 2, Segovia M. ⚽, Loune A. (A),
72', Ion R. ↓, Florica L. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Maurer A. ⚽,
78', Sarkic O. ↓, Berberi R. ↑,
78', Lake T. ↓, Medfai M. ↑,
81', Persyn T. ↓, Dumont O. ↑,
88', Kestens P. ↓, Szulc O. ↑,
88', Maurer A. ↓, Dodeigne N. ↑,
90+1', Kis K. ↓, Thea A. ↑,
90+5', Chaib Y. ↓, Montoro F. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 3, Berberi R. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

RWDM Brussels is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

ROCCM has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

ROCCM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, RWDM Brussels is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, RWDM Brussels won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, RWDM Brussels won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RWDM Brussels
Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.12.25	Anderlecht U23 - RWDM Brussels	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	RWDM Brussels - Francs Borains	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - RWDM Brussels	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	RWDM Brussels - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	RWDM Brussels - Genk U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT
- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.12.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Genk U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:4 ✺
23.11.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Francs Borains - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RFC Liège	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Cup
01.11.23	RWDM Brussels - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:0
Belgian National Division 1
15.02.20	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RWDM Brussels	0:0
09.11.19	RWDM Brussels - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1
Belgian Second Amateur Division Group C
07.04.18	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RWDM Brussels	2:1

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