Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 19

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Edmond Machtens Stadium (Brussels)

Referee: Vitse J. (Bel)


	RWDM Brussels		RFC Liège

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	2.18	3.45	3	Watch
	2.31	3.47	2.9
	2.07	3.75	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.25	3.45	3	Watch
	2.12	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.2)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)	2.95 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RWDM Brussels
42%

Draw
26.8%

RFC Liège
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RWDM Brussels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

RFC Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

RWDM Brussels - RFC Liège Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bengui J. (G) 99. Persyn T. 83. Lemmens M. (C) 47. Verhaeghe M. 13. Keita M. 27. Chaib Y. 7. Sapata 6. Huguinho 30. Loune A. 19. Montoro F. 9. Simbakoli U.	12. Belin J. (G) 2. Wasinski M. 5. Ngawa P. (C) 18. Paulet S. 14. Lucker L. 19. Soelle F. 13. Mouchamps D. 6. Shkurti K. 24. De Sart A. 7. Bruggeman B. 9. Diouf O.
Substitutes
17. Adamo V. 31. Dodeigne N. 14. Dumont O. 28. Hubert G. (G) 8. Jacob Montes 29. Maurer A. 59. Moore T. 77. Segovia M. 60. Szulc O.	1. Andre A. (G) 15. Arslan A. 20. Gobitaka F. 10. Hazard K. 11. Lefebvre A. 23. Reynaerts S. 8. Sarmiento D.
Coaches
Bruno C.	Englebert G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Shkurti K. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Soelle F. ⚽, Paulet S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lucker L. ↓, Reynaerts S. ↑,
46', Keita M. ↓, Dumont O. ↑,
46', De Sart A. ↓, Lefebvre A. ↑,
47', Mouchamps D. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Diouf O. ⚽, Ngawa P. (A),
57', Diouf O. 🟨,
58', Montoro F. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
58', Sapata ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
63', Loune A. 🟨,
65', Moore T. 🟨,
65', Loune A. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
76', Diouf O. ↓, Hazard K. ↑,
76', Persyn T. ↓, Sanhaji B. ↑,
80', Soelle F. ↓, Gobitaka F. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Lefebvre A. ⚽, Hazard K. (A),
89', Lefebvre A. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RWDM Brussels won 1.

RWDM Brussels has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

RFC Liège is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

RFC Liège may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, RWDM Brussels won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, RWDM Brussels won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

RWDM Brussels - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.84%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

RFC Liège - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.52%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RWDM Brussels
Belgian Challenger Pro League
17.12.25	Brugge U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	RWDM Brussels - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:3 ✺
06.12.25	Anderlecht U23 - RWDM Brussels	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	RWDM Brussels - Francs Borains	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - RWDM Brussels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTTLL
- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
18.12.25	RFC Liège - Lokeren	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	RFC Liège - Kortrijk	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - RFC Liège	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Francs Borains - RFC Liège	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	RFC Liège - Gent U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels	4:3
11.01.25	RWDM Brussels - RFC Liège	2:1
08.11.24	RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels	2:1
Belgian National Division 1
25.01.20	RWDM Brussels - RFC Liège	2:2
06.10.19	RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels	1:0
13.01.19	RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels	0:0

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