Match Info

3. SNL - East - Round 13

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Rače		Šmartno

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	4.74
	1.77	3.87	3.64	Watch
	1.53	4.05	4.97
	1.89	3.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.89)	3.97 ↑ (3.85)	4.15 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rače
54.7%

Draw
23.2%

Šmartno
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

23.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

23.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rače has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rače's performance.

Šmartno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Šmartno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rače than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rače that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šmartno than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Šmartno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rače - Šmartno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).

Rače has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Šmartno is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Šmartno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rače could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rače won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Rače
Slovenian Cup
05.11.25	Rače - Krka	2:1 ✺
Slovenian 3 SNL East
31.10.25	Brežice - Rače	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Rače - Zavrč	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Rače - Fužinar Ravne	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Videm - Rače	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTTTL
- NK Šmartno
Slovenian 3 SNL East
31.10.25	Šmartno - Podvinci	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Fužinar Ravne - Šmartno	5:1 ✺
19.10.25	Šmartno - Videm	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Šmartno - Rogaška	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Dobrovce - Šmartno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 3 SNL East
21.04.24	Šmartno - Rače	0:0

Rače - Šmartno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide