Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday


	Racing Cartagena MM		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.85	2.2
	3.25	2.85	2.2
	3.35	2.85	2.18
	3.46	2.89	2.33
	3.22	3.08	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.89)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	2.23 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Cartagena MM
27.7%

Draw
31.4%

Real Murcia
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

29.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

21.4%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Cartagena MM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Cartagena MM than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Racing Cartagena MM - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Mar Menor is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murcia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mar Menor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mar Menor have a series of guest games.

Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mar Menor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mar Menor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Cartagena MM
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.09.21	Hércules - Racing Cartagena MM	2:1 ✺
12.09.21	Racing Cartagena MM - Eldense	1:1 ✺
05.09.21	La Nucía - Racing Cartagena MM	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.21	Cartagena - Racing Cartagena MM	0:2 ✺
15.08.21	Móstoles URJC - Racing Cartagena MM	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLWT
- Real Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.09.21	Real Murcia - Intercity	2:0 ✺
11.09.21	Granada B - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
05.09.21	Real Murcia - Marchamalo	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.08.21	Yeclano Deportivo - Real Murcia	0:1 penalties ✺
18.08.21	Real Murcia - Hércules	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.08.16	Racing Cartagena MM - Real Murcia	0:1

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