Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, LPF Play, TNT Sports


	Racing Club 2		River Plate 2

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.30	2.20
	3.10	3.20	2.00
	2.88	3.52	2.27
	2.84	3.47	2.24	Watch
	2.85	3.40	2.20
	2.81	3.63	2.29
	2.80	3.45	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.1)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	2.2 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Racing Club 2
32%

Draw
26.6%

River Plate 2
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27.5%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.1%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Club 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Club 2 than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Racing Club 2 - River Plate 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th and 1st in the Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing 2 won 1.

In recent outings, Racing 2 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

River Plate 2 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Racing 2 has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Racing 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.5:2.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Club 2 - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.42%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

River Plate 2 - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.05%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club 2
Argentinian Reserve League
30.09.26	Instituto 2 - Racing Club 2	2:2 ✺
24.09.26	Racing Club 2 - Independiente 2	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Racing Club 2	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Racing Club 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	4:1 ✺
01.09.26	Aldosivi 2 - Racing Club 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWWT
- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.10.26	River Plate 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	River Plate 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	River Plate 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
10.07.26	River Plate 2 - Racing Club 2	1:2
05.05.26	River Plate 2 - Racing Club 2	2:2
08.08.24	River Plate 2 - Racing Club 2	1:0
28.02.24	Racing Club 2 - River Plate 2	1:3
24.07.23	Racing Club 2 - River Plate 2	0:2
20.10.22	River Plate 2 - Racing Club 2	1:2
24.02.22	River Plate 2 - Racing Club 2	4:2

Upcoming Matches