Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	River Plate 2		Sarmiento de Junín 2

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.60	7.25
	1.38	4.10	6.00
	1.38	4.58	8.15
	1.38	4.45	7.3	Watch
	1.36	4.50	7.35
	1.42	4.39	7.46
	1.31	4.70	7.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.52)	4.47 ↑ (3.6)	7.33 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate 2
67.1%

Draw
20.4%

Sarmiento de Junín 2
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.6%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.5%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate 2's performance.

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

River Plate 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 4th in the Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 4.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

River Plate 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to River Plate 2 as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, River Plate 2 has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:5 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for River Plate 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
25.09.26	River Plate 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	River Plate 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	River Plate 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTTWT
- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
23.09.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:1 ✺
15.09.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Racing Club 2	0:1 ✺
09.09.26	Instituto 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Aldosivi 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
28.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2	2:3
01.10.25	River Plate 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:0
30.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2	2:2
16.03.23	River Plate 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:0
30.07.22	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2	0:1
29.04.22	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2	1:2

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