Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Usa	ESPN USA, ion TV, Tubi TV
World	NWSL+


	Racing Louisville		Utah Royals

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.70	1.95
	3.9	3.8	1.65
	4.01	4.09	1.75
	3.22	3.98	1.97	Watch
	3.9	4	1.7
	3.94	4.04	1.76	Watch
	3.95	3.95	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.17)	3.94 ↑ (3.73)	1.78 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Louisville
24.9%

Draw
23.4%

Utah Royals
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

24.2%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

23.2%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Louisville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Utah Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Royals than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Racing Louisville - Utah Royals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bloomer J. (G) 15. Gacioch M. 3. Wright A. (C) 8. Petersen C. 12. McMahon Q. 10. Hodge M. 20. O'Kane K. 4. Morris M. 88. McKeen A. 42. Weber S. 13. Sears E.	1. McGlynn M. (G) 22. Moriya M. 8. Del Fava K. (C) 18. Riehl K. 14. Rabano N. 99. Hammond M. 10. Miura N. 5. Delzer C. 11. Tanaka M. 24. Lacasse C. 21. Palacios K.
Substitutes
23. Blackburn M. 7. Demelo S. 9. Fischer K. 21. Hill R. 5. Jean E. 16. Lardner M. 2. Milliet L. 1. Prohaska M. (G) 11. White T.	16. Brown C. 4. Cronin P. 3. Joseph J. 23. Justus M. (G) 2. Milazzo T. 13. Mozingo B. 15. Pierre-Louis D. 6. Simmonds K. N. 30. Spaanstra A.
Coaches
Yanez B.	Coenraets J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Hammond M. 🟨,
33', Hodge M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, O'Kane K. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Weber S. 🟨,
45+5', Tanaka M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hammond M. ↓, Cronin P. ↑,
65', Sears E. ↓, Fischer K. ↑,
65', McMahon Q. ↓, Blackburn M. ↑,
65', Hodge M. ↓, Milliet L. ↑,
66', Palacios K. 🟨,
68', Palacios K. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
77', Weber S. ↓, Lardner M. ↑,
80', Moriya M. ↓, Mozingo B. ↑,
90+1', McKeen A. ↓, Demelo S. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Mozingo B. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th and 4th in the Promotion - NWSL Women Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Racing Louisville is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Utah have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Racing Louisville could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Utah holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Utah in today's match, at odds of 1.98.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Racing Louisville has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:9 (averaging 2.2:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Racing Louisville against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 4:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Utah Royals W	27	14	4	9	44:35	9	46
15	Racing Louisville W	27	7	3	17	36:52	-16	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Louisville
NWSL
25.09.26	Racing Louisville - San Diego Wave	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Bay FC - Racing Louisville	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Racing Louisville - NJ NY Gotham	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Racing Louisville - Angel City	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	San Diego Wave - Racing Louisville	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Utah Royals
NWSL
27.09.26	Utah Royals - North Carolina Courage	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Utah Royals - Angel City	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Houston Dash - Utah Royals	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Utah Royals - Boston Legacy	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Orlando Pride - Utah Royals	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
17.05.26	Utah Royals - Racing Louisville	2:1
19.09.25	Utah Royals - Racing Louisville	3:2
06.06.25	Racing Louisville - Utah Royals	3:2
28.09.24	Utah Royals - Racing Louisville	1:0
20.04.24	Racing Louisville - Utah Royals	5:1

Racing Louisville - Utah Royals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide