Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, CA)

Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Xsports
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	NWSL+


	San Diego Wave		Racing Louisville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	4.00	4.40
	1.52	3.85	4.7
	1.55	4.24	5.12
	1.57	4.31	5.04	Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.45
	1.68	3.98	4.53	Watch
	1.56	4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)	4.09 ↑ (3.9)	4.72 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Wave
58.2%

Draw
22.4%

Racing Louisville
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

22.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

22.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Racing Louisville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

San Diego Wave - Racing Louisville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Panos S. (G) 16. Van Zanten A. D. 2. Wesley K. (C) 14. McNabb K. 75. Morroni P. 18. Fazer L. 4. Harbert L. 22. Godfrey L. E. 7. Barcenas M. 17. Ludmila 15. Byars T.	24. Bloomer J. (G) 2. Milliet L. 5. Jean E. 3. Wright A. (C) 15. Gacioch M. 20. O'Kane K. 26. Flint T. 13. Sears E. 12. McMahon Q. 6. Hase E. 9. Fischer K.
Substitutes
1. Agudelo L. (G) 8. Ascanio K. 11. Corley G. 6. Courtnall B. 10. Dali K. 28. Fusco J. 81. Gabi Portilho 23. Harrison N. 9. Leon A.	23. Blackburn M. 21. Hill R. 10. Hodge M. 16. Lardner M. 88. McKeen A. 8. Petersen C. 1. Prohaska M. (G) 42. Weber S. 11. White T.
Coaches
Eidevall J.	Yanez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Milliet L. ⚽, Fischer K. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Flint T. ⚽, Wright A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Fazer L. ↓, Ascanio K. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Byars T. ⚽, Van Zanten A. D. (A),
58', Fischer K. 🟨,
59', McMahon Q. 🟨,
63', Harbert L. ↓, Dali K. ↑,
71', Fischer K. ↓, Lardner M. ↑,
71', McMahon Q. ↓, Hill R. ↑,
74', Godfrey L. E. ↓, Corley G. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Byars T. ⚽,
80', 3 - 2, Dali K. ⚽,
85', Flint T. ↓, Hodge M. ↑,
85', Milliet L. ↓, McKeen A. ↑,
86', Hodge M. 🟨,
88', Barcenas M. 🟨,
90', Barcenas M. ↓, Gabi Portilho ↑,
90', Byars T. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
90+3', Sears E. ↓, White T. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 3.

San Diego Wave has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Racing Louisville is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

San Diego Wave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Diego Wave is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	San Diego Wave W ✔	27	16	3	8	40:28	12	51
15	Racing Louisville W	27	7	3	17	36:52	-16	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Wave
NWSL
21.08.26	San Diego Wave - Utah Royals	4:2 ✺
14.08.26	San Diego Wave - Denver Summit	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	NJ NY Gotham - San Diego Wave	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Washington Spirit - San Diego Wave	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	San Diego Wave - Seattle Reign	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWL
- Racing Louisville
NWSL
23.08.26	Chicago Stars - Racing Louisville	3:2 ✺
19.08.26	Racing Louisville - Seattle Reign	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Racing Louisville - Boston Legacy	4:1 ✺
07.08.26	Orlando Pride - Racing Louisville	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Racing Louisville - Chicago Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
24.08.25	San Diego Wave - Racing Louisville	0:1
19.04.25	Racing Louisville - San Diego Wave	1:4
03.11.24	San Diego Wave - Racing Louisville	3:1
13.04.24	Racing Louisville - San Diego Wave	0:0
15.10.23	San Diego Wave - Racing Louisville	2:0
09.06.23	Racing Louisville - San Diego Wave	0:0
15.07.22	San Diego Wave - Racing Louisville	0:0

San Diego Wave - Racing Louisville: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide