Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Referee: Hadzic A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Xsports
World	NWSL+


	Bay FC		Racing Louisville

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.80	3.75
	1.72	3.70	3.75
	1.71	4.18	4.05
	1.83	4.04	3.61	Watch
	1.79	3.95	3.55
	1.71	4.03	4.24	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.83)	3.95 ↑ (3.6)	3.85 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bay FC
53%

Draw
23.2%

Racing Louisville
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

24.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bay FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Racing Louisville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Bay FC - Racing Louisville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Silkowitz J. (G) 16. Collins S. (C) 21. Cometti A. 18. Anderson J. 31. Nighswonger J. 8. Hutton C. 7. Huff T. 41. Bebar H. 17. Pfeiffer A. 5. Lema K. 9. Kundananji R.	24. Bloomer J. (G) 12. McMahon Q. 5. Jean E. 3. Wright A. (C) 8. Petersen C. 6. Hase E. 2. Milliet L. 42. Weber S. 20. O'Kane K. 9. Fischer K. 13. Sears E.
Substitutes
19. Bailey D. 27. Barry K. 23. Conti C. 2. Gilchrist H. 10. Girelli C. 11. Hubly K. 4. Menges E. 1. Miller C. (G) 24. Moreau M.	23. Blackburn M. 15. Gacioch M. 21. Hill R. 10. Hodge M. 16. Lardner M. 88. McKeen A. 4. Morris M. 1. Prohaska M. (G) 11. White T.
Coaches
Coates E.	Yanez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Wright A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Pfeiffer A. ⚽, Kundananji R. (A),
56', 2 - 0, Lema K. ⚽,
63', McMahon Q. ↓, Morris M. ↑,
64', Lema K. ↓, Girelli C. ↑,
64', Kundananji R. ↓, Barry K. ↑,
64', Fischer K. ↓, Hodge M. ↑,
71', O'Kane K. ↓, McKeen A. ↑,
71', Weber S. ↓, Lardner M. ↑,
71', Hase E. ↓, Hill R. ↑,
84', Pfeiffer A. ↓, Conti C. ↑,
84', Collins S. ↓, Moreau M. ↑,
90', Huff T. ↓, Bailey D. ↑,
90+2', Conti C. 🟨,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 14th and 15th).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Racing Louisville could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bay holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Bay has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 1.2:0.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Bay FC W	27	7	5	15	28:42	-14	26
15	Racing Louisville W	27	7	3	17	36:52	-16	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bay FC
NWSL
16.09.26	Denver Summit - Bay FC	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Seattle Reign - Bay FC	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Bay FC - Kansas City Current	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Washington Spirit - Bay FC	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Bay FC - Houston Dash	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLLW
- Racing Louisville
NWSL
11.09.26	Racing Louisville - NJ NY Gotham	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Racing Louisville - Angel City	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	San Diego Wave - Racing Louisville	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Chicago Stars - Racing Louisville	3:2 ✺
19.08.26	Racing Louisville - Seattle Reign	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
10.07.26	Racing Louisville - Bay FC	0:2
02.11.25	Racing Louisville - Bay FC	1:0
22.03.25	Bay FC - Racing Louisville	2:0
07.09.24	Bay FC - Racing Louisville	1:0
29.06.24	Racing Louisville - Bay FC	0:1

Bay FC - Racing Louisville: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide