Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 23

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Achille Hammerel (Luxembourg)


	Racing Luxembourg		Pétange

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.65	4.35
	1.78	4.21	3.57
	1.66	4.34	3.91	Watch
	1.73	3.7	3.6
	1.67	3.96	4.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.64)	3.97 ↑ (3.63)	3.89 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Luxembourg
53.6%

Draw
22.9%

Pétange
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.8%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Pétange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Luxembourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pétange than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pétange, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Racing Luxembourg - Pétange Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing Luxembourg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Racing Luxembourg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ruffier R. (G) 77. Dewalque L. 11. Diakhite A. 6. Freire B. 3. Hofland M. 10. Ikene F. (C) 4. Kada J. 8. Kante M. 12. Lesquoy T. 29. Matuvangua R. 19. Qevani A.	1. Barrela L. (C) 27. Ali D. 2. Erraji A. 81. Ferreira G. 14. Kourouma M. 77. Lognard N. 23. Martins N. 29. Mbida M. 4. Noode S. 6. Sabotic D. 7. Schaus Y.
Substitutes
99. Azemi E. (G) 40. Ballicalioglu V. 20. Fonrose F. 21. Mabanza C. 31. Matubanzila S. 30. Monge N. 7. Stolz D.	91. Amaadacho S. 34. El Idrissi A. 22. Fanoux J. 18. Komes M. (G) 5. Zodehougan Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Luxembourg won 3.

Racing Luxembourg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pétange has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Racing Luxembourg is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Racing Luxembourg will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Racing Luxembourg won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing Luxembourg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Racing Luxembourg	8	5	2	1	21:8	13	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
22.03.26	Victoria Rosport - Racing Luxembourg	3:4 ✺
14.03.26	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Canach	3:2 ET ✺
Luxembourg National Division
01.03.26	Racing Luxembourg - F91 Dudelange	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL
- Union Titus Pétange
Luxembourg National Division
22.03.26	Pétange - Mamer	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Atert Bissen - Pétange	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Pétange - Käerjéng 97	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Pétange	4:1 ✺
22.02.26	Pétange - UNA Strassen	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
05.10.25	Pétange - Racing Luxembourg	2:1
29.09.24	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	2:1
30.03.24	Pétange - Racing Luxembourg	0:3
27.09.23	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	2:0
30.04.23	Pétange - Racing Luxembourg	1:1
27.11.22	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	0:2
Luxembourg Cup
11.05.22	Pétange - Racing Luxembourg	0:1

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