Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Achille Hammerel (Luxembourg)


	Racing Luxembourg		UNA Strassen

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.35	2.54
	3.15	2.66	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.59)	3.1 ↓ (3.33)	2.56 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Luxembourg
33.7%

Draw
30%

UNA Strassen
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27.3%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

UNA Strassen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNA Strassen than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Racing Luxembourg - UNA Strassen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Racing Luxembourg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). UNA Strassen will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ruffier R. (G) 17. Dupays H. 6. Freire B. 9. Herrmann C. 3. Hofland M. 10. Ikene F. (C) 4. Kada J. 12. Lesquoy T. 30. Monge N. 33. Sow I. 7. Stolz D.	67. Ozcan K. (G) 20. Agovic A. 30. Agovic D. (C) 10. Agovic E. 23. Brandenburger E. 8. Goncalves J. 34. Hall T. 7. Matheus Souza 90. Perez N. 14. Sacras A. 6. Vova
Substitutes
99. Azemi E. (G) 14. Azong C. 8. Chibani B. 77. Dewalque L. 15. Giesteira B. 21. Mabanza C. 19. Saban M.	18. Dadashev D. 22. Garrido D. (G) 31. Grym R. 94. Myre D. 69. Perret R. 88. Romeyns B. 25. Sever L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Herrmann C. ⚽, Lesquoy T. (A),
21', Stolz D. 🟨,
35', Dupays H. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Matheus Souza ⚽,
40', Perez N. 🟨,
42', Ikene F. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Matheus Souza ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dupays H. ↓, Chibani B. ↑,
61', Herrmann C. 🟨,
62', Ikene F. 🟨,
65', Hall T. 🟨,
68', Herrmann C. ↓, Saban M. ↑,
76', Perez N. ↓, Romeyns B. ↑,
76', Goncalves J. ↓, Grym R. ↑,
77', Hofland M. ↓, Azong C. ↑,
77', Monge N. ↓, Dewalque L. ↑,
82', Sacras A. ↓, Myre D. ↑,
86', Sow I. 🟨,
86', Kada J. 🟨,
86', Dewalque L. 🟨,
88', Kakoko Y. 🟨,
89', Matheus Souza ↓, Perret R. ↑,
90+4', Brandenburger E. 🟨,
90+5', Lesquoy T. 🟨,
90+5', Lesquoy T. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Luxembourg won 1.

In recent matches, Racing Luxembourg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UNA Strassen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Racing Luxembourg won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing Luxembourg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
05.10.25	Pétange - Racing Luxembourg	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Racing Luxembourg - Victoria Rosport	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Racing Luxembourg - Mondorf-les-Bains	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	F91 Dudelange - Racing Luxembourg	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTT
- UNA Strassen
Luxembourg National Division
05.10.25	UNA Strassen - Mamer	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	UNA Strassen - Käerjéng 97	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atert Bissen - UNA Strassen	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Progrès Niedercorn - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	UNA Strassen - Hostert	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
22.02.25	Racing Luxembourg - UNA Strassen	0:1
25.08.24	UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg	0:0
05.05.24	UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg	1:1
26.11.23	Racing Luxembourg - UNA Strassen	2:1
23.04.23	Racing Luxembourg - UNA Strassen	0:1
13.11.22	UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg	1:4
15.05.22	Racing Luxembourg - UNA Strassen	6:1

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