Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Racing Rioja		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.22	3.13	2.93
	2.23	3.34	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.38)	3.22 ↓ (3.23)	2.8 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Rioja
39.8%

Draw
28%

Alfaro
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Rioja than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Racing Rioja is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alfaro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing Rioja won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing Rioja won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Rioja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.02.24	Anguiano - Racing Rioja	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Racing Rioja - Arnedo	2:4 ✺
28.01.24	Alberite - Racing Rioja	2:3 ✺
21.01.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Racing Rioja	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Racing Rioja - Oyonesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLW
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.02.24	Alfaro - Varea	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Haro Deportivo - Alfaro	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Alfaro - La Calzada	4:1 ✺
21.01.24	Anguiano - Alfaro	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Alfaro - Arnedo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
30.09.23	Alfaro - Racing Rioja	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.01.23	Alfaro - Racing Rioja	0:0
03.09.22	Racing Rioja - Alfaro	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
09.05.21	Racing Rioja - Alfaro	1:0
18.04.21	Alfaro - Racing Rioja	3:4

Racing Rioja - Alfaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide