The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alfaro 43.8%
Draw 27.7%
Varea 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
28.6%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
27%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfaro's performance.
Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+3%)
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 3.
Alfaro in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Varea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Varea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Alfaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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