Match Info

LaLiga - Round 1

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	17:00	SuperSport 1
Argentina	12:00	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Austria	17:00	Laola1
Belarus	18:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	11:00	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	18:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	11:00	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	10:00	ESPN
Croatia	17:00	SportKlub 4
Czech Republic	17:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	17:00	Disney+
Ecuador	10:00	ESPN 2
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	18:00	Disney+
France	17:00	DAZN France
Germany	17:00	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	18:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	17:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Italy	17:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	Setanta Sports
Malta	17:00	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	09:00	Canal 5, Sky Sport, ViX Premium
Norway	17:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	11:00	ESPN 2
Peru	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Portugal	16:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	18:00	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	18:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	17:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	17:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	17:00	SportKlub 4
Spain	17:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga
Sweden	17:00	Disney+
Turkey	18:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	18:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	16:00	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	11:00	ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 2


	Racing Santander		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.75	1.9	Watch
	3.40	3.70	2.00
	3.7	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.9	3.9	2
	3.19	3.86	2.11	Watch
	3.9	3.75	1.94
	4.18	3.82	1.89	Watch
	3.75	3.9	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.02)	3.79 ↑ (3.43)	1.97 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
25.7%

Draw
25.4%

Villarreal
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

27.6%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Santander's form might have worsened.

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	17.5%	67.5%

Racing Santander - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 6 - 15.4%). Villarreal will win (votes: 26 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 51.9% – 81.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Racing (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (9.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Villarreal (7.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Villarreal (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 22. Pedro Felipe 5. Ramon P. 17. Salinas J. 8. Puerta G. 36. Martinez S. 11. Martin A. 20. Canales S. 10. Vicente I. 12. Villalibre A.	1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 8. Foyth J. (C) 12. Veiga R. 20. Romero C. 19. Pepe N. 14. Comesana S. 18. Gueye P. 10. Moleiro A. 22. Perez A. 9. Mikautadze G.
Substitutes
9. Arana J. 33. Castellanos J. 34. Diaz D. 1. Eriksson S. (G) 16. Gonzalez F. 14. Gueye M. 4. Manu 38. Martin H. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 30. Sanchez C. 29. Vallecillo A. 21. Zabiri Y.	11. Akhomach I. 17. Buchanan T. 23. Cardona S. 2. Costa L. 3. Freeman A. 25. Gulacsi P. (G) 5. Kambwala W. 26. Macia C. 7. Moreno G. 6. Navarro P. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 30. Tidiane Thiam C.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
16', Pedro Felipe ↓, Manu ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Martin A. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 2 - 0, Martinez S. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽, Moleiro A. (A),
45+1', 2 - 2, Pepe N. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
45+4', Puerta G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Foyth J. 🟨,
56', Comesana S. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
56', Moleiro A. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
56', Perez A. ↓, Macia C. ↑,
62', Lopez J. 🟨,
69', Villalibre A. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
69', Martinez S. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
73', Gueye P. 🟨,
75', Ramon P. 🟨,
77', Pepe N. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
77', Ramon P. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
77', Canales S. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
87', Mourino S. 🟨,
88', Mourino S. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,
90+3', Romero C. 🟨,

Preview

Racing has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villarreal might have a minor edge in this game.

There are questionable in Racing: Guliashvili G. (Leg Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15:15	0	12
14	Racing Santander	10	3	2	5	15:26	-11	11

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.4% Racing Santander: 0.1%

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Santander - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 31.35%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Villarreal - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 41.01%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	4:1 ✺
01.08.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	Racing Santander - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
24.07.26	Osasuna - Racing Santander	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Real Sociedad - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLT
- Villarreal CF
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Villarreal - Levante	1:0 ✺
Como Cup
01.08.26	Lens - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	PSV Eindhoven - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
17.07.26	Benfica - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.05.26	Villarreal - Atlético Madrid	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
21.04.13	Villarreal - Racing Santander	1:0
17.11.12	Racing Santander - Villarreal	0:3
Spanish LaLiga
15.04.12	Villarreal - Racing Santander	1:1

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