The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villarreal 66.8%
Draw 18.9%
Espanyol 14.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.8%
22.3%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
22%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villarreal's performance.
Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
11.1%
0%
Villarreal - Espanyol Predictions
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Villarreal (1.44) (votes: 100%) โญ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Villarreal will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 18th in the Relegation - LaLiga2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 5.
Villarreal is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Espanyol is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Espanyol could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Villarreal enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal has recorded 10 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:21 (averaging 1.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villarreal against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 24:11 goals (averaging 2.4:1.1 per game).
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