Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 23

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Racing Valverdeño		Olivenza

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.87
	3.91	3.17	1.85
	3.99	3.28	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.97)	3.18 ↑ (2.97)	1.86 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Valverdeño
23.2%

Draw
28.3%

Olivenza
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

30.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

25.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Valverdeño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Valverdeño's form might have worsened.

Olivenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olivenza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Valverdeño than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Valverdeño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olivenza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Racing Valverdeño is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olivenza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Racing Valverdeño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing Valverdeño won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing Valverdeño won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Valverdeño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
18.02.24	Jerez - Racing Valverdeño	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Racing Valverdeño - Montehermoso	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Jaraíz - Racing Valverdeño	5:0 ✺
28.01.24	Racing Valverdeño - Trujillo	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Coria - Racing Valverdeño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWLWL
- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
18.02.24	Olivenza - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Villafranca - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Olivenza - Fuente de Cantos	1:3 ✺
28.01.24	Don Benito - Olivenza	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Olivenza - Castuera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.10.23	Olivenza - Racing Valverdeño	1:0
25.02.21	Racing Valverdeño - Olivenza	3:2
08.11.20	Olivenza - Racing Valverdeño	0:0
31.10.19	Racing Valverdeño - Olivenza	0:0
22.12.18	Racing Valverdeño - Olivenza	1:1

Racing Valverdeño - Olivenza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide