Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Racing de Córdoba		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.39	3.8	7.5
	1.38	3.9	7.5
	1.4	3.75	7.6
	1.4	3.65	7.76
	1.38	3.7	8.5
	1.4	3.8	8.2	Watch
	1.43	3.9	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.82)	3.79 ↑ (3.1)	7.87 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing de Córdoba
64.7%

Draw
23.9%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

29.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

28%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing de Córdoba's performance.

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Resistencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing de Córdoba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Resistencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Racing de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Racing de Córdoba will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing de Córdoba: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Racing de Córdoba is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sarmiento is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Racing de Córdoba is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Racing de Córdoba to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Racing de Córdoba won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing de Córdoba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.10.22	Racing de Córdoba - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Racing de Córdoba - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Racing de Córdoba - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
10.10.22	Unión de Sunchales - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Racing de Córdoba - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTTW
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.10.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 penalties ✺
23.10.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:2 ✺
09.10.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.09.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Racing de Córdoba	1:0
23.05.22	Racing de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1
05.09.21	Racing de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:2
16.05.21	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Racing de Córdoba	0:3

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