Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue 2 - Round 19

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Radès		Ariana

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.9
	3.15	3.05	2.21
				Watch
	3.21	3.02	2.19
	3.15	3.05	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (5.37)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.13 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radès
27.7%

Draw
29.7%

Ariana
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

29.3%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

28.9%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radès has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radès's performance.

Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ariana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radès than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radès that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ariana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Radès - Ariana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Boubakri J. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Louhichi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 2, Nacer A. B. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Sdiri M. H. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Nacer A. B. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Radès is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ariana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ariana is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Radès won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Radès won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ÉS Radès
Tunisian Ligue 2
09.03.25	Korba - Radès	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Jendouba Sport - Radès	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Radès - Hammam-Lif	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Msaken - Radès	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Radès - Kalaâ	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLTLL
- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
09.03.25	Ariana - Hammam-Lif	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Msaken - Ariana	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Ariana - Kalaâ	5:2 ✺
16.02.25	El Makarem de Mahdia - Ariana	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Hammam-Sousse - Ariana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
23.11.24	Ariana - Radès	1:0
11.02.24	Ariana - Radès	3:1
14.10.23	Radès - Ariana	2:0

Radès - Ariana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide