Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa)

Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Raków Częstochowa		Maccabi Haifa

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.61	3.8	4.75
	1.58	3.7	5.4	Watch
	1.54	3.85	6.03
	1.55	3.83	6.08	Watch
	1.65	3.93	5.57	Watch
	1.74	4	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.74)	3.84 ↓ (4)	5.21 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
57.9%

Draw
24.2%

Maccabi Haifa
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

23.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

22.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Maccabi Haifa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Haifa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Haifa than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Haifa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Raków Częstochowa - Maccabi Haifa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Maccabi Haifa (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Raków (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Raków (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Maccabi Haifa (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trelowski K. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 4. Svarnas S. 7. Tudor F. 88. Barath P. 6. Repka O. 26. Otieno E. 19. Ameyaw M. 9. Makuch P. 8. Pienko T.	89. Yermakov G. (G) 25. Bataille J. 30. Seck A. (C) 24. Eissat L. 27. Cornud P. 16. Saief K. 5. Naor G. 19. Azoulay E. 7. Severina X. 22. Stewart T. 99. Jovanovic D.
Substitutes
11. Adriano 5. Bulat M. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 28. Diaz J. 66. Konstantopoulos A. 39. Madrzyk J. (G) 2. Mosor A. 14. Plavsic S. 17. Rocha L. 23. Struski K. 48. Zych O. (G)	31. Arazi A. 42. Elimelech R. 3. Goldberg S. 28. Hajaj I. 8. Haziza D. 40. Kaiuf S. (G) 15. Kassa L. 36. Khalaili I. 18. Melamed G. 4. Mohamed A. 26. Ohana M. 17. Podgoreanu S.
Coaches
Papszun M.	Flores D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Eissat L. 🟨,
45', Azoulay E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pienko T. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
59', Cornud P. 🟨,
60', Ameyaw M. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Azoulay E. ⚽, Jovanovic D. (A),
63', Seck A. 🟨,
64', Saief K. ↓, Kassa L. ↑,
64', Stewart T. ↓, Khalaili I. ↑,
78', Jovanovic D. ↓, Melamed G. ↑,
78', Azoulay E. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
78', Makuch P. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
78', Arsenic Z. ↓, Adriano ↑,
82', Repka O. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
85', Melamed G. 🟨,
87', Severina X. ↓, Podgoreanu S. ↑,
90', Kassa L. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Maccabi Haifa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Raków is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.08.25	Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Žilina - Raków Częstochowa	1:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.07.25	Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Raków Częstochowa - Žilina	3:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.25	GKS Katowice - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW
- Maccabi Haifa FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Maccabi Haifa - Torpedo-BelAZ	3:0 ✺
24.07.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Maccabi Haifa	1:1 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
19.07.25	Maccabi Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Győri ETO - Maccabi Haifa	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Maccabi Haifa - Diósgyőri	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLWL

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