Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 16

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: EXTRA Arena (Trondheim)

Referee: Wisted-Thu E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ranheim		Haugesund

	1	X	2
	3.40	4.75	1.75	Watch
	3.30	4.33	1.77
	3.25	4.35	1.82
	3.67	4.60	1.85
	3.13	4.41	1.93	Watch
	3.60	4.45	1.78
	3.42	4.78	1.76	Watch
	3.30	4.40	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.85)	4.51 ↑ (4.03)	1.8 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ranheim
27.6%

Draw
20.7%

Haugesund
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

23%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

22.7%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ranheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haugesund's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haugesund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Ranheim - Haugesund Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Haugesund (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Haugesund (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Haugesund will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Haugesund (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Storevik J. (G) 15. Rolstad K. 19. Pereira J. 22. Haukeberg T. B. 24. Gangstad H. 8. Holden O. 25. Skammelsrud L. 21. Solberg E. 11. Sylva M. 20. Fossli A. (C) 10. Johnsen M.	1. Bratveit P. (G) 26. Andersen E. 4. Koskela M. 14. Nilsen S. 3. Molde S. 41. Remmem L. 40. Grindhaug A. 16. Leite B. 30. Camara I. 29. Diarra S. (C) 11. Sandberg N.
Substitutes
3. Aasbak C. 28. Gundersen J. 9. Haugland S. 4. Kongerud T. 7. Lundgren M. 12. Madsen O. (G) 5. Pallas N. 26. Sjovold S.	15. Bjornbak M. 10. Derviskadic E. 21. Fauskanger E. (G) 8. Hannola P. 25. Hope M. 17. Karlsen H. 44. Lie P. E. 20. Seone I.
Coaches
Rismark Ch.	Eide E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Camara I. ⚽, Leite B. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Diarra S. ⚽, Sandberg N. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Johnsen M. ⚽, Fossli A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Skammelsrud L. ↓, Sjovold S. ↑,
58', Sylva M. ↓, Lundgren M. ↑,
62', Leite B. ↓, Hannola P. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Diarra S. ⚽, Sandberg N. (A),
65', Fossli A. ↓, Haugland S. ↑,
65', Gangstad H. ↓, Pallas N. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Molde S. (Own goal),
74', Andersen E. 🟨,
76', Johnsen M. 🟨,
81', Camara I. ↓, Hope M. ↑,
86', Solberg E. ↓, Aasbak C. ↑,
90', Pereira J. 🟨,
90+1', Remmem L. ↓, Bjornbak M. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 4, Diarra S. ⚽, Sandberg N. (A),
90+4', 3 - 4, Haukeberg T. B. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ranheim won 2.

Ranheim is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Haugesund has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Haugesund is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ranheim won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ranheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Haugesund: 58.9%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Haugesund	24	18	1	5	74:39	35	55
8	Ranheim	24	9	4	11	61:58	3	31

Last Results with these Odds

Ranheim - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.52%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ranheim IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.07.26	Sogndal - Ranheim	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	Ranheim - Stabæk	2:5 ✺
27.06.26	Åsane - Ranheim	3:0 ✺
19.06.26	Ranheim - Lyn	3:2 ✺
14.06.26	Haugesund - Ranheim	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.07.26	Haugesund - Bryne	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Odd - Haugesund	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Haugesund - Kongsvinger	4:2 ✺
21.06.26	Egersund - Haugesund	5:2 ✺
14.06.26	Haugesund - Ranheim	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.06.26	Haugesund - Ranheim	4:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.08.19	Haugesund - Ranheim	0:1
14.04.19	Ranheim - Haugesund	0:2
04.11.18	Haugesund - Ranheim	2:0
15.04.18	Ranheim - Haugesund	4:2
Club Friendly
10.03.17	Haugesund - Ranheim	2:3

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