Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 24

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: EXTRA Arena (Trondheim)

Referee: Sletner H. (Nor)


	Ranheim		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4	3.75	1.85	Watch
	4.34	3.63	1.85
	3.8	3.5	1.73
	4.1	3.86	1.79
	3.95	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.22)	3.66 ↓ (3.7)	1.8 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ranheim
22.8%

Draw
25.5%

Fredrikstad
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

24.9%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

25%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ranheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ranheim's form might have worsened.

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fredrikstad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ranheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Ranheim - Fredrikstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Frenderup N. (G) 5. Haugen S. 4. Skuseth N. 2. Rismark Ch. (C) 24. Gangstad H. 8. Alte R. 14. Johnsrud M. 25. Holden O. K. 11. Solli S. 9. Bye B. 15. Tonne E.	1. Jensen H. (G) 12. Metcalfe P. 22. Woledzi M. 3. Skaret B. 6. Aukland P. 4. Molde S. 13. Sorlokk S. 19. Magnusson J. (C) 7. Hendriksson B. 29. Aga O. 14. Bjartalid J.
Substitutes
19. Gaustad D. 20. Gunnes A. 18. Kvithyld B. 1. Lenes M. (G) 17. Nordli J. 21. Pedersen M. 16. Qvigstad L. 6. Tromsdal J. 27. Wenaas V.	11. Alba R. 20. Asheim H. 2. Bjorkstrom T. 9. Johansen H. 17. Kvile S. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 27. Lassen M. 23. Maden M. 26. Nielsen M.
Coaches
Ingebrigtsen K.	Thomassen M.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ranheim won 1.

Ranheim is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fredrikstad is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fredrikstad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fredrikstad is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Ranheim won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Ranheim won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ranheim IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.09.23	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	Sogndal - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Ranheim - Start	0:0 ✺
23.08.23	Skeid - Ranheim	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Ranheim - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWTWW
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
17.09.23	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Start - Fredrikstad	2:2 ✺
27.08.23	Fredrikstad - Hødd	1:0 ✺
23.08.23	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Fredrikstad - Kristiansund	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.07.23	Fredrikstad - Ranheim	4:0
14.08.22	Fredrikstad - Ranheim	1:1
29.05.22	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	3:2
27.11.21	Fredrikstad - Ranheim	3:1
02.07.21	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	1:1
24.10.17	Fredrikstad - Ranheim	1:2
13.05.17	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	1:0

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