The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tromsø 78.7%
Draw 13.8%
Haugesund 7.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.5%
19.3%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66%
19.4%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tromsø's performance.
Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haugesund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tromsø that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haugesund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tromsø - Haugesund Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Haugaard J. (G) 4. Skjaervik V. 21. Hien L. 30. Vadebu I. 17. Dahlqvist I. 5. Edvardsson D. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 70. Bjorlo M. 37. Innvaer S. 22. Larsen H. 7. Larsen L. O.
21. Fauskanger E. (G) 44. Lie P. E. 37. Schifferl R. 23. Norbye J. 42. Bondhus A. 16. Leite B. (C) 40. Grindhaug A. 41. Remmem L. 8. Hannola P. 26. Andersen E. 20. Seone I.
Substitutes
9. Braut D. 19. Elvebu A. L. 15. Erlien V. 8. Grundt J. 18. Hristov N. 12. Lauvli O. (G) 27. Mikkelsen M. 24. Osuji V. 25. Oyvann C.
29. Diarra S. 25. Hope M. 14. Nilsen S. 7. Rohd E. 11. Sandberg N. 18. Solheim V. 32. Stople F. (G) 45. Valenza W.
Coaches
Vik J.
Eide E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Hien L. ⚽, Edvardsson D. (A),
20', Dahlqvist I. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Hien L. ⚽, Larsen L. O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', Larsen H. ↓, Braut D. ↑,
62', Larsen L. O. ↓, Erlien V. ↑,
62', Bjorlo M. ↓, Grundt J. ↑,
62', Leite B. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
63', Andersen E. ↓, Rohd E. ↑,
63', Seone I. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
63', Remmem L. ↓, Sandberg N. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Grindhaug A. ⚽,
75', Lie P. E. ↓, Solheim V. ↑,
87', Schifferl R. 🟨,
88', Nilsen S. 🟨,
90+1', Edvardsson D. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Schifferl R. ⚽, Rohd E. (A),
90+4', 3 - 2, Jenssen R. ⚽, Innvaer S. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 3.
Tromsø has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Haugesund is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Haugesund may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Tromsø enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tromsø has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:29 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tromsø against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:9 goals (averaging 1.5:0.9 per game).