Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 27

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: EXTRA Arena (Trondheim)

Referee: Grundt J. W. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Ranheim		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.5	5.75	Watch
	1.38	5.15	6.5
	1.39	5.7	6.4
	1.56	4.59	4.41	Watch
	1.36	5.05	7.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.56)	5.2 ↑ (4.59)	6.04 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ranheim
66.3%

Draw
18.1%

Mjøndalen
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

20.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

19.4%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ranheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ranheim's performance.

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mjøndalen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ranheim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Ranheim - Mjøndalen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ranheim (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ranheim will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nilsen S. (G) 22. Haukeberg T. B. 2. Slordahl P. (C) 4. Rosten H. 15. Tonne E. 8. Holden O. 18. Camara F. 14. Emilsen M. 16. Diop S. 26. Berisha J. 10. Samuelsen A.	87. Oy L. (G) 5. Midtgarden E. (C) 2. Vik I. 6. Skau J. 21. Ekstrom V. 17. Bata K. 11. Bruusgaard J. 3. Molund A. 28. Sawaneh E. 7. Reutersward L. 20. Arierhi K.
Substitutes
9. Bye B. 13. Fagerhaug M. V. 24. Gangstad H. 28. Gundersen J. 21. Johnsen M. 7. Skjelbred P. 30. Solvoll T. (G) 17. Torp-Helland D. 11. Wenaas V.	18. Arsbog N. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 16. Godwin F. 15. Kvam F. 25. Ogboji T. 10. Saetherbo K. 19. Waehler M.
Coaches
Rismark Ch.	Nicol K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Samuelsen A. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Berisha J. ⚽, Samuelsen A. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Berisha J. ⚽, Tonne E. (A),
44', Arierhi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Vik I. 🟨,
51', Samuelsen A. 🟨,
62', Bata K. ↓, Kvam F. ↑,
62', Reutersward L. ↓, Saetherbo K. ↑,
72', Berisha J. ↓, Johnsen M. ↑,
72', Samuelsen A. ↓, Wenaas V. ↑,
75', Bruusgaard J. ↓, Waehler M. ↑,
80', Diop S. ↓, Bye B. ↑,
80', Camara F. ↓, Skjelbred P. ↑,
87', Vik I. ↓, Ogboji T. ↑,
87', Skau J. ↓, Godwin F. ↑,
87', Emilsen M. ↓, Torp-Helland D. ↑,
90+1', Molund A. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ranheim won 2.

Ranheim is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mjøndalen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ranheim is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ranheim won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ranheim won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ranheim IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.10.25	Odd - Ranheim	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ranheim - Egersund	0:4 ✺
29.09.25	Raufoss - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Start - Ranheim	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Ranheim - Åsane	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TLWWW
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.10.25	Mjøndalen - Aalesunds	0:6 ✺
04.10.25	Åsane - Mjøndalen	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Lillestrøm SK - Mjøndalen	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
17.09.25	Mjøndalen - Brann	1:5 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.09.25	Mjøndalen - Lyn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.05.25	Mjøndalen - Ranheim	1:4
19.08.24	Ranheim - Mjøndalen	0:1
09.06.24	Mjøndalen - Ranheim	3:3
13.08.23	Mjøndalen - Ranheim	1:2
24.06.23	Ranheim - Mjøndalen	2:3
08.08.22	Ranheim - Mjøndalen	2:1
26.05.22	Mjøndalen - Ranheim	1:2

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