Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 24

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: NAMMO Stadion (Raufoss)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Raufoss		Ranheim

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.38
	2.68	3.55	2.4	Watch
	2.72	3.7	2.54
	2.66	3.37	2.52	Watch
	2.72	3.52	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.61)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	2.45 (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raufoss
34.9%

Draw
26.7%

Ranheim
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.8%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ranheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Raufoss - Ranheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Raufoss will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ranheim will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ranheim: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Raufoss (votes: 1 - 50%). Ranheim (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klemensson A. (G) 22. Fors V. 15. Hay K. 4. Hansen A. 3. Bonde R. 17. Nordbo S. 11. Fremstad N. 14. Lynum J. 8. Nelson R. 9. Hustad E. 23. Selnaes J. S.	1. Nilsen S. (G) 22. Haukeberg T. B. 2. Slordahl P. 3. Aasbak C. 15. Tonne E. 8. Holden O. 18. Camara F. 14. Emilsen M. 11. Wenaas V. 21. Johnsen M. 10. Samuelsen A.
Substitutes
10. Badjie K. 33. Dalby M. (G) 31. Danbolt U. 25. Engebakken T. E. 28. Jensen P. (G) 18. Mensah E. 5. Rotihaug O. 29. Sorum E. 27. Steinset K.	26. Berisha J. 9. Bye B. 13. Fagerhaug M. V. 33. Neverdal L. 7. Skjelbred P. 30. Solvoll T. (G) 17. Torp-Helland D.
Coaches
Dent T.	Rismark Ch.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Camara F. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Hay K. ⚽, Nelson R. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Samuelsen A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Emilsen M. ↓, Skjelbred P. ↑,
64', Nordbo S. 🟨,
65', Hustad E. ↓, Badjie K. ↑,
68', Camara F. 🟨,
77', Samuelsen A. ↓, Berisha J. ↑,
79', Fors V. ↓, Rotihaug O. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Johnsen M. ⚽, Tonne E. (A),
90+2', Nordbo S. ↓, Mensah E. ↑,
90+2', Wenaas V. ↓, Fagerhaug M. V. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raufoss won 2.

Raufoss has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ranheim has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Raufoss won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Raufoss won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.09.25	Stabæk - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Raufoss - Aalesunds	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Hødd - Raufoss	2:4 ✺
23.08.25	Raufoss - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Åsane - Raufoss	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL
- Ranheim IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.25	Start - Ranheim	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Ranheim - Åsane	5:2 ✺
30.08.25	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Ranheim - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Aalesunds - Ranheim	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.05.25	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:1
25.09.24	Raufoss - Ranheim	1:1
16.06.24	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:0
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.09.23	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:3
13.05.23	Raufoss - Ranheim	0:0
22.10.22	Ranheim - Raufoss	3:2

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