Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Rapitenca		Montañesa

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	2.55
	2.55	2.85	2.8
	2.62	2.61	2.94
	2.5	2.79	2.88
	2.55	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.37)	2.77 ↓ (3.25)	2.79 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapitenca
35.1%

Draw
32.6%

Montañesa
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

27.6%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapitenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rapitenca's performance.

Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montañesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapitenca than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rapitenca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montañesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Rapitenca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montañesa is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montañesa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rapitenca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Rapitenca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Vilafranca - Rapitenca	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	LEscala - Rapitenca	3:2 ✺
14.01.24	Rapitenca - Girona B	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Tona - Rapitenca	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Rapitenca - Reus FC Reddis	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWLW
- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Montañesa - Prat	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Montañesa - Olot	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Mollerussa - Montañesa	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Montañesa - LHospitalet	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Castelldefels - Montañesa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
17.09.23	Montañesa - Rapitenca	2:1
26.02.23	Montañesa - Rapitenca	2:1

Rapitenca - Montañesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide