The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tona 51.2%
Draw 27.1%
Rapitenca 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
27.4%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
29%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Rapitenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapitenca than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Tona is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Rapitenca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Tona is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Tona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Tona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.