Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Dragon Solar Park (Ratchaburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Ratchaburi		Pathum United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.35	3	Watch
	2.06	3.67	3.21
	1.93	3.72	3.32	Watch
	2.08	3.74	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.93)	3.62 ↓ (3.72)	3.16 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ratchaburi
45.3%

Draw
25.5%

Pathum United
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

24.7%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

23.4%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ratchaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Ratchaburi - Pathum United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Pathum United (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Pathomakkakul K. (G) 27. Curran J. 4. Khemdee J. 2. Mutombo G. 3. Sidcley 10. Kaewprom J. (C) 37. Srisuwan K. 8. Suengchitthawon T. 6. Tana 7. Deni Junior 11. Negueba	28. Anuin S. (G) 81. Choolthong W. 16. Sandokhadze N. 2. Nonthasila S. 5. Kaman K. 8. Panya E. 13. Wonggorn J. 17. Notsuda G. (C) 3. Ose T. 14. Doi T. 95. Matheus Fornazari
Substitutes
16. Chakkuprasart S. 29. Chiamudom K. 91. Corinus J. 28. Limwannasthian T. 19. Peenagatapho S. 88. Poomkeaw C. 33. Promjan P. 15. Promrak A. 89. Rakotoharimalala N. 5. Sorada A. 97. Wongmeema U. (G) 18. Yoryoei T.	89. Buaphan C. 93. Dorkmaikaew P. (G) 15. Drincic M. 23. Emaviwe J. 29. Jamnongwat W. 77. Phonsan S. 50. Pruetong T. 18. Songkrasin C. 55. Tamma C. 21. Tiatrakul S. 4. Tongkiri C. 6. Yooyen S.
Coaches
Srimaka W.	Ishii M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Khemdee J. 🟨,
32', Matheus Fornazari ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,
45+4', Panya E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Sandokhadze N. 🟨,
63', Kaman K. ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
63', Wonggorn J. ↓, Emaviwe J. ↑,
65', Nonthasila S. 🟨,
70', Tana ↓, Rakotoharimalala N. ↑,
70', Srisuwan K. ↓, Limwannasthian T. ↑,
78', Negueba ↓, Poomkeaw C. ↑,
84', Panya E. ↓, Pruetong T. ↑,
84', Notsuda G. ↓, Tongkiri C. ↑,
87', Limwannasthian T. 🟨,
89', Kaewprom J. ↓, Yoryoei T. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 2.

Ratchaburi is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pathum United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ratchaburi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ratchaburi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ratchaburi FC
Thai League 1
09.11.25	Ayutthaya United - Ratchaburi	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
05.11.25	Eastern AA - Ratchaburi	0:7 ✺
Thai League 1
26.10.25	Uthai Thani - Ratchaburi	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
22.10.25	Ratchaburi - Eastern AA	5:1 ✺
Thai League 1
18.10.25	Ratchaburi - Lamphun Warriors	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW
- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
09.11.25	Pathum United - Rayong FC	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
06.11.25	Pathum United - Kaya	2:1 ✺
Thai League 1
02.11.25	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Sukhothai - Pathum United	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.25	Kaya - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
15.01.25	Pathum United - Ratchaburi	1:2
25.08.24	Ratchaburi - Pathum United	4:1
04.05.24	Ratchaburi - Pathum United	0:1
Thai League Cup
24.04.24	Ratchaburi - Pathum United	0:3
Thai League 1
09.12.23	Pathum United - Ratchaburi	2:1
30.04.23	Pathum United - Ratchaburi	4:2
Thai League Cup
26.04.23	Pathum United - Ratchaburi	2:1

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