Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium (Chonburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Chonburi		Pathum United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.08	Watch
	2.75	3.34	2.33	Watch
	3.53	3.54	1.98	Watch
	2.94	3.35	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.75)	3.38 ↑ (3.34)	2.16 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chonburi
30%

Draw
27.2%

Pathum United
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.4%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Chonburi - Pathum United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Pathum United (1.63) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Chonburi (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Chonburi (votes: 1 - 25%). Pathum United (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendoza K. (G) 23. Channgom S. 37. Sayriya N. 47. Jorge Fellipe 4. Sansanit K. 32. Moraksa R. 30. Biesamrit N. 80. Tapsuvanavon C. 10. Promsrikaew C. (C) 99. van Lingen O. 17. Bolingi J.	28. Anuin S. (G) 4. Tongkiri C. 16. Sandokhadze N. 15. Drincic M. 81. Choolthong W. 6. Yooyen S. (C) 17. Notsuda G. 29. Jamnongwat W. 13. Wonggorn J. 8. Panya E. 14. Doi T.
Substitutes
13. Ablorh L. 98. Chumpanya N. 11. Eisa A. 46. Kadtoon N. (G) 97. Kesada R. 2. Kike Linares 9. Kraisorn A. 92. Puntamunee T. 31. Seaisakul P. 36. Sujarit T. 14. Tabinas J. 21. Wandee S.	89. Buaphan C. 93. Dorkmaikaew P. (G) 23. Emaviwe J. 5. Kaman K. 10. Lopez J. 95. Matheus Fornazari 69. N'Diaye S. 26. Niamthaisong R. (G) 2. Nonthasila S. 9. Sareepim S. 55. Tamma C. 21. Tiatrakul S.
Coaches
Laohakul W.	Ishii M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Drincic M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Bolingi J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Drincic M. ↓, Nonthasila S. ↑,
46', Wonggorn J. ↓, Sareepim S. ↑,
46', Jamnongwat W. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Doi T. ⚽, Notsuda G. (A),
56', Jorge Fellipe 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Doi T. (Pen),
64', van Lingen O. ↓, Kraisorn A. ↑,
65', Tapsuvanavon C. ↓, Tabinas J. ↑,
76', Jamnongwat W. ↓, Tamma C. ↑,
85', Tongkiri C. ↓, Tiatrakul S. ↑,
87', Biesamrit N. ↓, Wandee S. ↑,
90+1', Panya E. ↓, Matheus Fornazari ↑,
90+2', Sansanit K. ↓, Seaisakul P. ↑,
90+11', Tamma C. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Pathum United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pathum United has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chonburi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Pathum United - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.29%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chonburi FC
Thai League 1
25.10.25	Ayutthaya United - Chonburi	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Chonburi - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Uthai Thani - Chonburi	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Chonburi - Prachuap	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Thai Port - Chonburi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTTL
- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
26.10.25	Sukhothai - Pathum United	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.25	Kaya - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
Thai League 1
18.10.25	Pathum United - Ayutthaya United	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
02.10.25	Tampines Rovers - Pathum United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
20.04.24	Pathum United - Chonburi	1:1
Thai League Cup
13.03.24	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:4
Thai FA Cup
20.12.23	Chonburi - Pathum United	3:2 penalties
Thai League 1
25.11.23	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:3
12.05.23	Pathum United - Chonburi	1:0
31.08.22	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:0
04.05.22	Pathum United - Chonburi	4:1

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