Match Info

Thai FA Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Dragon Solar Park (Ratchaburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 1


	Ratchaburi		Phrae United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.24	5.25	9.25
	1.06	8.6	23
	1.09	6.8	26.64
	1.07	9.23	20	Watch
	1.09	11	17.1	Watch
	1.06	8.6	25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.64)	8.25 ↑ (4.07)	20.17 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ratchaburi
84.2%

Draw
11.2%

Phrae United
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

22.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

21.2%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ratchaburi's performance.

Phrae United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Phrae United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-25.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ratchaburi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phrae United than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phrae United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ratchaburi - Phrae United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Pathomakkakul K. (G) 77. Bolkiah F. 25. Depres C. 17. Kasonsumol S. 4. Khemdee J. (C) 57. Lee-Oh S. 19. Peenagatapho S. 89. Rakotoharimalala N. 5. Sorada A. 37. Srisuwan K. 8. Suengchitthawon T.	14. Udom K. (G) 26. Hanchiaw S. 37. Hanpanitchakul E. (C) 16. Mann Aung Kaung 27. Phiraban A. 79. Pompa J. 91. Settawut 7. Shimizu T. 3. Singto C. 22. Tana P. 29. Thongkhruea W.
Substitutes
10. Kaewprom J. 9. Kim Ji-Min 39. Maunchaingam C. (G) 69. Mueansen K. (G) 24. Namwech W. 88. Poomkeaw C. 15. Promrak A. 23. Sangkasopha P. 7. Tanaka T. 21. Thongsaengphrao J.	71. Arbram K. 1. Khajitkanjana K. (G) 6. Pateetin C. 23. Sripho C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', Khemdee J. ↓, Promrak A. ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Kasonsumol S. ⚽,
33', 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Depres C. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Kasonsumol S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Kasonsumol S. ↓, Kaewprom J. ↑,
46', Bolkiah F. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Depres C. ⚽,
58', 4 - 1, Suengchitthawon T. ⚽,
67', 5 - 1, Sangkasopha P. ⚽,
73', 6 - 1, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽,
87', 7 - 1, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽,

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Phrae could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ratchaburi is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ratchaburi to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ratchaburi FC
Thai League 1
19.04.25	Ratchaburi - Buriram United	3:2 ✺
Thai League Cup
15.04.25	Chiangrai United - Ratchaburi	1:2 ✺
Thai FA Cup
09.04.25	Suphanburi - Ratchaburi	1:7 ✺
Thai League 1
06.04.25	Khonkaen United - Ratchaburi	4:7 ✺
02.04.25	Ratchaburi - Bangkok United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWL
- Phrae United
Thai League 2
20.04.25	Phrae United - Ayutthaya United	0:0 ✺
Thai FA Cup
09.04.25	Phrae United - Nakhon Si United	2:1 ✺
Thai League 2
06.04.25	Kanchanaburi - Phrae United	2:3 ✺
28.03.25	Chanthaburi - Phrae United	2:2 ✺
14.03.25	Phrae United - Suphanburi	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWTW

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