Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Rayo Cantabria		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.20	2.75
	2.30	3.05	2.80
	2.43	3.25	2.86
	2.36	3.22	2.84	Watch
	2.40	3.10	2.80
	2.35	3.06	2.83
	2.23	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.43)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	2.8 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Cantabria
38.9%

Draw
28.7%

Amorebieta
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Rayo Cantabria - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Torre I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 2, Diaz J. ⚽,

Preview

Rayo Cantabria has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Amorebieta is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rayo Cantabria holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Amorebieta	5	2	1	2	5:4	1	7
18	Rayo Cantabria	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.09.26	Coruxo - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Rayo Cantabria - Sestao	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Rayo Cantabria - Eibar B	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	Laredo - Rayo Cantabria	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Rayo Cantabria - Sestao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWWT
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.09.26	Bergantiños - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Amorebieta - Arosa	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Alavés B - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Amorebieta - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLWL

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