Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)


	Amorebieta		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.98	2.18
	3.71	2.98	2.13
	1.00	12.84	25.00	Watch
	3.45	3.02	2.18
	2.84	3.05	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.86)	4.97 ↑ (2.98)	6.77 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
50.2%

Draw
28.7%

UD Logroñés
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

30.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amorebieta's performance.

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amorebieta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amorebieta - UD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Reka ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 2 - 0, Tienza F. ⚽,
74', Rosas B. 🟥,
82', 2 - 1, Benitez C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 2.

Amorebieta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Logroñés is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Logroñés might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Amorebieta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.10.25	Gernika - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Amorebieta - Basconia	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	SD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Amorebieta - Beasain	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ebro - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTWT
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.10.25	UD Logroñés - Beasain	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Real Unión de Irun - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Mutilvera - UD Logroñés	0:4 ✺
21.09.25	UD Logroñés - Ebro	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	UD Logroñés - Náxara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.04.23	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	1:0
27.11.22	UD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.03.20	UD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1
19.10.19	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	0:1
16.03.19	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	1:2

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