Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Castellon B		Rayo Ibense

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	6.2
	1.29	4.68	8.42
	1.5	3.96	6.6
	1.35	4.35	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	4.25 (4.25)	7.18 ↑ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellon B
65.6%

Draw
21.6%

Rayo Ibense
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.4%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

22.3%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Rayo Ibense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Ibense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Castellon B - Rayo Ibense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 🟥,
64', 3 - 0, ⚽,
86', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Castellon B is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rayo Ibense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rayo Ibense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castellon B is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castellon B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 2.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Castellon B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.02.25	Soneja - Castellon B	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Castellon B - Utiel	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Castellon B - Torrellano	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellon B	3:1 ✺
15.01.25	Castellon B - Español de San Vicente	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLTLW
- UD Rayo Ibense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.02.25	Rayo Ibense - Torrellano	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Saguntino - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
25.01.25	Rayo Ibense - Crevillente Deportivo	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Rayo Ibense	2:1 ✺
15.01.25	Rayo Ibense - Vall de Uxó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.10.24	Rayo Ibense - Castellon B	2:3
04.02.24	Castellon B - Rayo Ibense	2:0
14.09.23	Rayo Ibense - Castellon B	2:1
16.04.23	Castellon B - Rayo Ibense	4:1
17.12.22	Rayo Ibense - Castellon B	1:1

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